VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $27.46BP/E 11.4Yield 7.08%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid18 of 30 checks passed
VICI Properties passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 5/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 0/6
- Dividend
- 5/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 33.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $24.94 is below our fair value estimate of $37.68.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 25.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 15.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 8.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -15.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.5% a year.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.06; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 56.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 63.7%.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
VICI Properties's P/E of 11.4 is below its own 5-year median of 12.8.
P/E below the industry
VICI Properties's P/E of 11.4 is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 26.3.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B below the industry
VICI Properties's price-to-book of 0.95 is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 1.20.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $24.94 is below our fair value estimate of $37.68.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 33.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth5/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 15.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 27.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -15.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.5% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 4.7% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Investing median is 4.6%.
Guidance raised
VICI Properties raised its full year 2026 Estimated Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) (in millions) outlook on Jul 29, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 99.3% over the last twelve months, against 99.3% a year earlier.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 8.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity above the industry
VICI Properties's return on equity of 8.3% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 3.1%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 25.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 56.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 63.7%.
Net margin above the industry
VICI Properties's net margin of 56.5% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 10.3%.
Financial health0/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt coverage
Needs operating cash flow.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term liquidity
The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.06; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend5/6
Pays a dividend
VICI Properties paid dividends worth 7.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 7.3% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; VICI Properties yields 7.3%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 8 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 82.6% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$37.68
The share price is 34% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.5× | 12.8× | 26.3× | $42.50 | 62% |
| P/B | 1.2× | 1.3× | 1.2× | $32.68 | 15% |
| Earnings power | 7.6% cost of equity | – | – | $28.17 | 23% |
| Fair value | $37.68 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 12.8
- Miscellaneous Investing median 26.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $239.79M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $218.71M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 10.9%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 20%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -1.13
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.54
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2016 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +4.1% | +15.5% | +26.7% | – | |
| Gross profit | +4.1% | +15.6% | +26.9% | – | |
| Net income | +3.6% | +35.4% | +25.5% | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +2.0% | +27.1% | +8.3% | – | |
| Dividend per share | +4.1% | +5.6% | +7.1% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | 10.3% | 10.2% | |
| Return on assets | – | 5.9% | 6.0% | |
| Interest coverage | – | 1.0× | – | |
| Capex to revenue | – | – | – | |
| Diluted shares | – | 511M | 1.06B |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
VICI Properties does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 69.3% | 0.09× | 1.69× | 10.2% |
| FY2024 | 69.6% | 0.09× | 1.73× | 10.3% |
| FY2023 | 69.6% | 0.09× | 1.73× | 10.7% |
| FY2022 | 43.0% | 0.09× | 1.62× | 6.6% |
| FY2021 | 67.2% | 0.09× | 1.61× | 9.4% |
| FY2020 | 72.8% | 0.08× | 1.74× | 10.3% |
| FY2019 | 61.0% | 0.07× | 1.66× | 7.4% |
| FY2018 | 58.3% | 0.09× | 1.83× | 9.1% |
| FY2017 | 386.3% | 0.00× | 3.11× | 1.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$2.78B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$2.51B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year6.1% → 6.1%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$2.51B vs $2.78B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise1.05B → 1.06B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year99.30% → 99.33%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.09 → 0.09
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