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Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD) stock analysis

STWDNYSEReal Estate Investment TrustsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 13/3040% below fair value
$11.44−0.35 (-2.97%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $4.23BP/E –Yield 16.78%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth1Performance1Health4Dividend4

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Starwood Property Trust passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 9 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 40.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $11.79 is below our fair value estimate of $19.64.

  • No debt

    Starwood Property Trust has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 4.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -3.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 8.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -25.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -164% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.4% a year.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Starwood Property Trust's price-to-book of 0.75 is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 1.20.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $11.79 is below our fair value estimate of $19.64.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 40.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 8.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -25.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -164% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.4% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 14.4% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Investing median is 4.6%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was -3.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Starwood Property Trust's return on equity of -3.7% is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 3.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 4.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -11.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 31.0%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Starwood Property Trust's net margin of -11.3% is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 10.3%.

Financial health4/6
  • No debt

    Starwood Property Trust has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.06; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Starwood Property Trust paid dividends worth 16.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 16.3% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Starwood Property Trust yields 16.3%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$19.64

The share price is 40% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$11.79Price$19.64Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/B1.1×1.0×1.2×$17.2829%
P/S3.8×3.6×4.1×$21.4329%
Earnings power9.3% cost of equity––$20.0343%
Fair value$19.64100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 15.9
  • Miscellaneous Investing median 26.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$83.84M
Value traded per 1% price move
$59.92M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
18.8%
Volatility (annualized)
21%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-1.83
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.89

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

–

Net margin

22.3%−6.9 pts over 5 years

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