Oshkosh Corp (OSK) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $8.61BP/E –Yield 1.44%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed11 of 30 checks passed
Oshkosh passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 11 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 10.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 24.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 10.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 103% of total debt.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 24.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $141.28 is above our fair value estimate of $113.27.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Oshkosh's EV/EBITDA of 9.4 is above its 5-year median of 8.2.
P/B above the industry
Oshkosh's price-to-book of 1.89 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.56.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Oshkosh's EV/EBITDA of 9.4 is above its 5-year median of 8.2.
P/B above the industry
Oshkosh's price-to-book of 1.89 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.56.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $141.28 is above our fair value estimate of $113.27.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 24.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 10.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 4.2% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.
Guidance raised
Oshkosh raised its 2026 net sales outlook on Jul 28, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 15.4% over the last twelve months, against 17.8% a year earlier.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 10.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin against its history
Needs five years of revenue and net income.
Net margin against the industry
Needs revenue and net income.
Financial health5/6
Low debt
Debt is 24.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 31.5% five years ago to 24.2%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 103% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.72 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.16; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Oshkosh paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Oshkosh yields 1.6%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 14.2% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$113.27
The share price is 25% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 8.4× | 8.2× | 8.5× | $125.21 | 58% |
| P/B | 1.7× | 1.8× | 1.6× | $127.24 | 17% |
| Earnings power | 10.1% cost of equity | – | – | $76.11 | 25% |
| Fair value | $113.27 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 12.6
- Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median 18.7
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $98.27M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $51.06M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 18.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 40%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.28
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.05
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2010 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -2.9% | – | +8.7% | +5.5% | |
| Gross profit | -7.6% | – | +10.3% | +5.8% | |
| Operating income | -7.0% | – | +14.1% | +9.0% | |
| Free cash flow | +129.7% | – | +23.5% | – | |
| Dividend per share | +10.9% | – | +11.2% | +11.6% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2015 | FY2019 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current ratio | 1.63 | 1.96 | 1.94 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.49 | 0.32 | 0.24 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.69× | 0.41× | 0.53× | |
| Inventory turnover | 4.5× | 5.5× | 3.7× | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | |
| Diluted shares | 79M | 71M | 65M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2020 to 2025, five years combined
Oshkosh generated $3.48B from operations and spent $2.08B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 47% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2015 | 3.8% | 1.33× | 2.35× | 11.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero–
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$783.40M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year– → –
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$783.40M vs –
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell6.4% → 10.9%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.52 → 1.94
- No dilutionShare count did not rise66M → 65M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year18.35% → 17.45%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.18 → 1.11
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