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Oshkosh Corp (OSK) stock analysis

OSKNYSEMotor Vehicles & Passenger Car BodiesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 11/3025% above fair value
$141.28+1.18 (+0.84%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $8.61BP/E –Yield 1.44%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance1Health5Dividend3

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Oshkosh passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 11 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 24.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 10.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 103% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 24.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $141.28 is above our fair value estimate of $113.27.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Oshkosh's EV/EBITDA of 9.4 is above its 5-year median of 8.2.

  • P/B above the industry

    Oshkosh's price-to-book of 1.89 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.56.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Oshkosh's EV/EBITDA of 9.4 is above its 5-year median of 8.2.

  • P/B above the industry

    Oshkosh's price-to-book of 1.89 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.56.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $141.28 is above our fair value estimate of $113.27.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 24.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 10.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 4.2% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.

  • Guidance raised

    Oshkosh raised its 2026 net sales outlook on Jul 28, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 15.4% over the last twelve months, against 17.8% a year earlier.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 10.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin against the industry

    Needs revenue and net income.

Financial health5/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 24.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 31.5% five years ago to 24.2%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 103% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.72 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.16; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Oshkosh paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Oshkosh yields 1.6%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 14.2% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$113.27

The share price is 25% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$141.28Price$113.27Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA8.4×8.2×8.5×$125.2158%
P/B1.7×1.8×1.6×$127.2417%
Earnings power10.1% cost of equity––$76.1125%
Fair value$113.27100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 12.6
  • Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median 18.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$98.27M
Value traded per 1% price move
$51.06M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
18.7%
Volatility (annualized)
40%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.28
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.05

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2010 to 2025

Gross margin

17.5%−0.7 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

9.0%−0.5 pts over 5 years

Net margin

–

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