Aptiv PLC (APTV) stock analysis
Close on Nov 10, 2026Market cap $8.22BP/E 37.3Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak7 of 30 checks passed
Aptiv passes 7 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 25.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $39.57 is below our fair value estimate of $53.41.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 25.1% of total debt.
P/E below its 5-year median
Aptiv's P/E of 37.3 is below its own 5-year median of 40.3.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 2.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 3.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
High debt
Debt is 61.4% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 38.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Aptiv's P/E of 37.3 is below its own 5-year median of 40.3.
P/E above the industry
Aptiv's P/E of 37.3 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 18.7.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Aptiv's EV/EBITDA of 6.6 is below its 5-year median of 11.1.
P/B below the industry
Aptiv's price-to-book of 0.94 is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.56.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $39.57 is below our fair value estimate of $53.41.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 25.9% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 5.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -27.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -78.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -38.0% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 5.3% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.
Guidance lowered
Aptiv lowered its Full Year 2026 Adjusted effective tax rate outlook on Nov 3, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 19.6% over the last twelve months, against 19.8% a year earlier.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 2.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 3.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Aptiv's return on equity of 2.4% is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 3.5%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 38.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 1.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.3%.
Net margin below the industry
Aptiv's net margin of 1.2% is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.9%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 61.4% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 53.0% five years ago to 61.4%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 25.1% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 3.0 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.02 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.39; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Aptiv has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$53.41
The share price is 26% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 29.6× | 40.3× | 18.7× | $31.37 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.8× | 11.1× | 8.5× | $69.51 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.7× | 1.9× | 1.6× | $73.38 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 10.8% cost of equity | – | – | $61.29 | 15% |
| Fair value | $53.41 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 40.3
- Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median 18.7
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $131.00M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $84.44M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 20.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 44%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -1.29
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.19
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +3.5% | +5.3% | +9.3% | +6.5% | |
| Gross profit | +5.0% | +13.9% | +15.0% | +2.6% | |
| Operating income | -35.7% | -2.1% | -11.0% | -0.4% | |
| Net income | -90.8% | -34.8% | -38.0% | -19.5% | |
| EPS, diluted | -89.2% | -27.4% | -35.4% | -17.4% | |
| Free cash flow | -5.4% | +54.0% | +13.0% | +2.5% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 54.1% | 30.8% | 1.8% | |
| Return on assets | 10.4% | 11.6% | 0.7% | |
| Current ratio | 1.31 | 1.85 | 1.74 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.65 | 0.53 | 0.82 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.60× | 0.46× | 2.73× | |
| Interest coverage | 9.9× | 12.9× | 3.3× | |
| Inventory turnover | 9.3× | 8.6× | 8.0× | |
| Capex to revenue | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | |
| Diluted shares | 274M | 271M | 221M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Aptiv generated $9.01B from operations and spent $8.75B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 44% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 0.8% | 0.87× | 2.60× | 1.8% |
| FY2024 | 9.1% | 0.82× | 2.35× | 17.6% |
| FY2023 | 14.7% | 0.87× | 2.27× | 28.9% |
| FY2022 | 3.4% | 0.88× | 2.33× | 6.9% |
| FY2021 | 3.8% | 0.88× | 2.19× | 7.3% |
| FY2020 | 13.8% | 0.84× | 2.64× | 30.8% |
| FY2019 | 6.9% | 1.11× | 3.56× | 27.2% |
| FY2018 | 7.4% | 1.17× | 3.65× | 31.6% |
| FY2017 | 10.5% | 1.05× | 4.29× | 47.5% |
| FY2016 | 10.2% | 1.01× | 5.22× | 54.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$165.00M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$2.19B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year7.3% → 0.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$2.19B vs $165.00M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell33.4% → 31.9%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.53 → 1.74
- No dilutionShare count did not rise257M → 221M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year18.83% → 19.11%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.81 → 0.87
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