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Federal Signal Corp (FSS) stock analysis

FSSNYSEMotor Vehicles & Passenger Car BodiesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 29, 2026Score 23/3025% above fair value
$116.54+1.38 (+1.20%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $7.11BP/E 24.2Yield 0.48%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth5Performance6Health6Dividend4

Strong23 of 30 checks passed

Federal Signal passes 23 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
5/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 20.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.8% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 18.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 26.6% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 20.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 25.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $116.54 is above our fair value estimate of $93.15.

  • P/E above the industry

    Federal Signal's P/E of 24.2 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 18.7.

  • P/B above the industry

    Federal Signal's price-to-book of 4.50 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.56.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Federal Signal's P/E of 24.2 is below its own 5-year median of 27.8.

  • P/E above the industry

    Federal Signal's P/E of 24.2 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 18.7.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Federal Signal's EV/EBITDA of 14.7 is below its 5-year median of 17.0.

  • P/B above the industry

    Federal Signal's price-to-book of 4.50 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.56.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $116.54 is above our fair value estimate of $93.15.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 25.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth5/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 15.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 26.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 25.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 20.7% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 24.0% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 29.1% over the last twelve months, against 28.9% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 20.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.8% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 18.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Federal Signal's return on equity of 20.5% is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 3.5%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 20.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 11.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.7%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Federal Signal's net margin of 11.7% is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.9%.

Financial health6/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 26.6% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 29.9% five years ago to 26.6%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 95.8% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 17.9 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.97 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 7.61; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Federal Signal paid dividends worth 0.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Federal Signal yields 0.5%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 12.1% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 9.9% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$93.15

The share price is 25% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$116.54Price$93.15Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E23.3×27.8×18.7×$112.2640%
EV/EBITDA12.8×17.0×8.5×$100.5835%
P/B3.1×4.6×1.6×$80.6310%
Earnings power9.6% cost of equity––$33.2015%
Fair value$93.15100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 27.8
  • Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median 18.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$57.32M
Value traded per 1% price move
$34.06M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.5%
Volatility (annualized)
34%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.03
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.94

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

28.9%+3.0 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

15.6%+4.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

11.3%+2.8 pts over 5 years

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