Medallion Financial Corp (MFIN) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $214.45MP/E 8.4Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed13 of 30 checks passed
Medallion Financial passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $9.19 is below our fair value estimate of $9.64.
Low debt
Debt is 19.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 14.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 180% of total debt.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 4.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 6.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -0.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.19; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Valuation3/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Medallion Financial's P/E of 8.3 is above its own 5-year median of 4.4.
P/E below the industry
Medallion Financial's P/E of 8.3 is below the Finance services median of 11.8.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B below the industry
Medallion Financial's price-to-book of 0.53 is below the Finance services median of 0.83.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $9.19 is below our fair value estimate of $9.64.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 4.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 14.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -0.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 4.1% over the last twelve months; the Finance services median is 9.8%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 6.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Medallion Financial's return on equity of 6.8% is above the Finance services median of -33.5%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 10.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 24.2%.
Net margin above the industry
Medallion Financial's net margin of 10.8% is above the Finance services median of -64.5%.
Financial health3/6
Low debt
Debt is 19.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 37.7% five years ago to 19.3%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 180% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term liquidity
The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.19; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Medallion Financial paid dividends worth 7.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 7.2% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Medallion Financial yields 7.2%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 45.0% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$9.64
The share price is 5% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 8.1× | 4.4× | 11.8× | $8.97 | 80% |
| P/B | 0.7× | 0.6× | 0.8× | $12.34 | 20% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 8.8% cost of equity | – | – | $57.36 | – |
| Fair value | $9.64 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 4.4
- Finance services median 11.8
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
High risk
- Average value traded per day
- $652.93K
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $472.25K
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 17.9%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 32%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.37
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.79
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2016 to 2025
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +19.2% | +14.5% | +19.4% | – | |
| Net income | +20.0% | -0.6% | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +17.1% | -0.9% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | -14.1% | 11.1% | |
| Return on assets | – | -2.2% | 1.5% | |
| Diluted shares | 24M | 24M | 24M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Medallion Financial does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 16.9% | 0.09× | 7.48× | 11.1% |
| FY2024 | 16.8% | 0.08× | 7.65× | 10.1% |
| FY2023 | 27.6% | 0.08× | 7.52× | 17.1% |
| FY2022 | 25.8% | 0.08× | 7.02× | 14.9% |
| FY2021 | 33.9% | 0.09× | 6.78× | 20.9% |
| FY2020 | -33.2% | 0.07× | 6.44× | -14.1% |
| FY2019 | -1.5% | 0.08× | 5.56× | -0.7% |
| FY2018 | -21.9% | 0.09× | 5.76× | -11.7% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$43.04M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$126.28M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year1.4% → 1.5%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$126.28M vs $43.04M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise24M → 24M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.08 → 0.09
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