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Medallion Financial Corp (MFIN) stock analysis

MFINNasdaqFinance ServicesFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as MBNKO
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 13/305% below fair value
$9.34+0.15 (+1.63%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $214.45MP/E 8.4Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth1Performance2Health3Dividend4

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Medallion Financial passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $9.19 is below our fair value estimate of $9.64.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 19.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 14.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 180% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 4.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 6.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -0.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.19; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Medallion Financial's P/E of 8.3 is above its own 5-year median of 4.4.

  • P/E below the industry

    Medallion Financial's P/E of 8.3 is below the Finance services median of 11.8.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Medallion Financial's price-to-book of 0.53 is below the Finance services median of 0.83.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $9.19 is below our fair value estimate of $9.64.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 4.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 14.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -0.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 4.1% over the last twelve months; the Finance services median is 9.8%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 6.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 14.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Medallion Financial's return on equity of 6.8% is above the Finance services median of -33.5%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 10.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 24.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Medallion Financial's net margin of 10.8% is above the Finance services median of -64.5%.

Financial health3/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 19.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 37.7% five years ago to 19.3%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 180% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.19; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Medallion Financial paid dividends worth 7.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 7.2% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Medallion Financial yields 7.2%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 45.0% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$9.64

The share price is 5% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$9.19Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E8.1×4.4×11.8×$8.9780%
P/B0.7×0.6×0.8×$12.3420%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others8.8% cost of equity––$57.36–
Fair value$9.64100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 4.4
  • Finance services median 11.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$652.93K
Value traded per 1% price move
$472.25K

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
17.9%
Volatility (annualized)
32%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.37
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.79

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2016 to 2025

Net margin

16.9%+50.1 pts over 5 years

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