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Genuine Parts Co (GPC) stock analysis

GPCNYSEWholesale-Motor Vehicle Supplies & New PartsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 20, 2026Score 7/30157% above fair value
$123.75−0.96 (-0.77%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $17.06BP/E 476.0Yield 3.33%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance0Health2Dividend3

Weak7 of 30 checks passed

Genuine Parts passes 7 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 23.4% of total debt.

  • Guidance raised

    Genuine Parts raised its For the Year Ending December 31, 2026 International Automotive sales growth outlook on Apr 21, 2026.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 75.7% of free cash flow.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 157% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $123.75 is above our fair value estimate of $48.15.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 0.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 22.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • High debt

    Debt is 110% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Genuine Parts's P/E of 476.0 is above its own 5-year median of 20.2.

  • P/E above the industry

    Genuine Parts's P/E of 476.0 is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 20.3.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Genuine Parts's EV/EBITDA of 38.0 is above its 5-year median of 13.1.

  • P/B above the industry

    Genuine Parts's price-to-book of 3.67 is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 2.15.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $123.75 is above our fair value estimate of $48.15.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 157% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 3.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -61.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 5.3% over the last twelve months; the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median is 8.4%.

  • Guidance raised

    Genuine Parts raised its For the Year Ending December 31, 2026 International Automotive sales growth outlook on Apr 21, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 37.1% over the last twelve months, against 37.0% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 0.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 22.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Genuine Parts's return on equity of 0.7% is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 7.6%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 0.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.0%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Genuine Parts's net margin of 0.1% is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 1.9%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 110% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 83.5% five years ago to 110%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 23.4% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.22 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.21; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Genuine Parts paid dividends worth 3.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.4% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Genuine Parts yields 3.4%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 1861% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 75.7% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$48.15

The share price is 157% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$123.75Price$48.15Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/Eleft out, too far from the others20.3×20.2×20.3×$5.27–
EV/EBITDA13.0×13.1×12.9×$21.4758%
P/B3.3×4.5×2.1×$112.7717%
Earnings power8.4% cost of equity––$67.3325%
Fair value$48.15100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 20.2
  • Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median 20.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$126.94M
Value traded per 1% price move
$98.81M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
23.7%
Volatility (annualized)
34%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.16
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.71

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

36.8%+2.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

–

Net margin

0.3%+0.4 pts over 5 years

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