LKQ Corp (LKQ) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $4.91BP/E 19.5Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Solid15 of 30 checks passed
LKQ passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 39.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $19.47 is below our fair value estimate of $32.32.
No debt
LKQ has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 4.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 7.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 1.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 2.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation5/6
P/E above its 5-year median
LKQ's P/E of 19.5 is above its own 5-year median of 13.5.
P/E below the industry
LKQ's P/E of 19.5 is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 19.9.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
LKQ's EV/EBITDA of 4.5 is below its 5-year median of 6.9.
P/B below the industry
LKQ's price-to-book of 0.78 is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 2.13.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $19.47 is below our fair value estimate of $32.32.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 39.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 2.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -17.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -63.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -1.0% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -0.4% over the last twelve months; the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median is 8.4%.
Guidance lowered
LKQ lowered its 2026 Updated Full Year Outlook Organic revenue growth for parts and services outlook on Jul 30, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 38.1% over the last twelve months, against 38.9% a year earlier.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 4.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 7.0%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
LKQ's return on equity of 4.0% is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 7.6%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 1.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 1.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 6.8%.
Net margin above the industry
LKQ's net margin of 1.9% is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 1.9%.
Financial health5/6
No debt
LKQ has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.75 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.34; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
LKQ paid dividends worth 6.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 6.2% yield is above the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; LKQ yields 6.2%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Not covered by earnings
Dividends take 120% of net income, leaving little room.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 50.2% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$32.32
The share price is 40% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 16.7× | 13.5× | 19.9× | $16.69 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.8× | 6.9× | 12.8× | $41.47 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.0× | 1.9× | 2.1× | $50.29 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 8.7% cost of equity | – | – | $40.69 | 15% |
| Fair value | $32.32 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 13.5
- Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median 19.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $104.31M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $49.31M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 21.6%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 43%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.97
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.73
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -1.2% | +2.2% | +3.3% | +6.6% | |
| Gross profit | -2.2% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +6.4% | |
| Operating income | -13.3% | -14.4% | +0.1% | +3.5% | |
| Net income | -12.3% | -19.1% | -1.0% | +3.7% | |
| EPS, diluted | -10.3% | -17.1% | +2.4% | +5.5% | |
| Free cash flow | +4.6% | -6.3% | -7.8% | +8.5% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.7% | |
| Return on assets | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | |
| Current ratio | 2.95 | 2.03 | 1.67 | |
| Interest coverage | – | -9.5× | -4.4× | |
| Inventory turnover | 3.0× | 2.7× | 2.5× | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | |
| Diluted shares | 310M | 305M | 258M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
LKQ generated $6.16B from operations and spent $5.16B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 27% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 4.5% | 0.91× | 2.40× | 9.7% |
| FY2024 | 5.0% | 0.92× | 2.47× | 11.4% |
| FY2023 | 7.1% | 0.98× | 2.33× | 16.1% |
| FY2022 | 9.0% | 1.04× | 2.20× | 20.5% |
| FY2021 | 8.3% | 1.05× | 2.18× | 19.1% |
| FY2020 | 5.5% | 0.93× | 2.36× | 12.0% |
| FY2019 | 4.3% | 1.03× | 2.47× | 11.1% |
| FY2018 | 4.0% | 1.14× | 2.31× | 10.7% |
| FY2017 | 5.5% | 1.10× | 2.31× | 14.0% |
| FY2016 | 5.4% | 1.23× | 2.13× | 14.2% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$608.00M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.06B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year4.6% → 4.1%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.06B vs $608.00M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.71 → 1.67
- No dilutionShare count did not rise264M → 258M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year38.95% → 38.57%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.92 → 0.91
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