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W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) stock analysis

GWWNYSEWholesale-Durable GoodsFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 18/3060% above fair value
$1489.30−13.31 (-0.89%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $70.15BP/E 32.7Yield 0.59%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 12, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth4Performance6Health4Dividend4

Solid18 of 30 checks passed

W.W. Grainger passes 18 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 54.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 60.2% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 39.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 19.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 25.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 19.7% a year.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 60.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $1502.61 is above our fair value estimate of $938.70.

  • High debt

    Debt is 67.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    W.W. Grainger's P/E of 33.0 is above its own 5-year median of 25.9.

  • P/E above the industry

    W.W. Grainger's P/E of 33.0 is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 20.2.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    W.W. Grainger's EV/EBITDA of 21.6 is above its 5-year median of 17.1.

  • P/B above the industry

    W.W. Grainger's price-to-book of 16.30 is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 2.14.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $1502.61 is above our fair value estimate of $938.70.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 60.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 5.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 25.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 19.7% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 9.1% over the last twelve months; the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median is 8.4%.

  • Guidance raised

    W.W. Grainger raised its 2026 Effective Tax Rate outlook on Aug 4, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 39.4% over the last twelve months, against 39.1% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 54.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 60.2% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 39.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    W.W. Grainger's return on equity of 54.7% is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 7.6%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 19.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 11.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 10.0%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    W.W. Grainger's net margin of 11.2% is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 1.9%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 67.0% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 131% five years ago to 67.0%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 76.9% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.61 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 13.50; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    W.W. Grainger paid dividends worth 0.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.5% yield is below the 4.6% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.9% or more; W.W. Grainger yields 0.5%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 23.4% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 29.5% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$938.70

The share price is 60% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$1,502.61Price$938.70Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E23.1×25.9×20.2×$1,050.4044%
EV/EBITDA15.0×17.1×12.9×$1,036.7739%
Earnings power9.0% cost of equity––$412.0117%
Fair value$938.70100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 25.9
  • Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median 20.2

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$380.77M
Value traded per 1% price move
$307.48M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
7.6%
Volatility (annualized)
24%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
2.22
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.80

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

39.1%+3.1 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

13.9%+5.3 pts over 5 years

Net margin

9.5%+3.6 pts over 5 years

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