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Devon Energy Corp (DVN) stock analysis

DVNNYSECrude Petroleum & Natural GasFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 8/3012% above fair value
$46.23+1.28 (+2.85%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $50.85BP/E 11.6Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth1Performance2Health3Dividend1

Weak8 of 30 checks passed

Devon Energy passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 27.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 84.4% of total debt.

  • P/B below the industry

    Devon Energy's price-to-book of 1.18 is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 1.33.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 27.1% over the last twelve months; the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median is 8.7%.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 12.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $44.95 is above our fair value estimate of $40.12.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 12.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 35.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -3.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Devon Energy's P/E of 11.2 is above its own 5-year median of 8.1.

  • P/E above the industry

    Devon Energy's P/E of 11.2 is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 10.4.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Devon Energy's EV/EBITDA of 6.1 is above its 5-year median of 4.6.

  • P/B below the industry

    Devon Energy's price-to-book of 1.18 is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 1.33.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $44.95 is above our fair value estimate of $40.12.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 12.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -3.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -23.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 27.1% over the last twelve months; the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median is 8.7%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Devon Energy lowered its third quarter of 2026 oil production outlook on Aug 4, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 12.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 35.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Devon Energy's return on equity of 12.6% is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 5.5%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 16.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 22.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Devon Energy's net margin of 16.2% is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 3.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 27.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 149% five years ago to 27.3%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 84.4% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.70 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.55; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Devon Energy paid dividends worth 2.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.5% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Devon Energy yields 2.5%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$40.12

The share price is 12% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$44.95Price$40.12Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E9.2×8.1×10.4×$36.9340%
EV/EBITDA4.9×4.6×5.3×$34.6135%
P/B1.9×2.4×1.3×$71.9010%
Earnings power7.9% cost of equity––$40.3215%
Fair value$40.12100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 8.1
  • Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median 10.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$476.82M
Value traded per 1% price move
$314.92M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
13.2%
Volatility (annualized)
36%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.78
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.60

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

–

Net margin

15.4%+70.9 pts over 5 years

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