StockData
Diamondback Energy, Inc. logo

Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) stock analysis

FANGNasdaqCrude Petroleum & Natural GasFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 9/3033% above fair value
$180.98+2.90 (+1.63%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $50.68BP/E 24.7Yield 2.21%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth3Performance1Health3Dividend1

Mixed9 of 30 checks passed

Diamondback Energy passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 34.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 15.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 78.3% of total debt.

  • Guidance raised

    Diamondback Energy raised its 2026 Operated drilling and completion outlook on Nov 2, 2026.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 33.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $180.98 is above our fair value estimate of $135.75.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 5.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 3.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Diamondback Energy's P/E of 24.7 is above its own 5-year median of 10.0.

  • P/E above the industry

    Diamondback Energy's P/E of 24.7 is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 10.4.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Diamondback Energy's EV/EBITDA of 9.1 is above its 5-year median of 6.4.

  • P/B below the industry

    Diamondback Energy's price-to-book of 1.30 is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 1.33.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $180.98 is above our fair value estimate of $135.75.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 33.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 15.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -38.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 21.1% over the last twelve months; the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median is 8.7%.

  • Guidance raised

    Diamondback Energy raised its 2026 Operated drilling and completion outlook on Nov 2, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 5.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 3.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Diamondback Energy's return on equity of 5.3% is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 5.5%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 11.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 31.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Diamondback Energy's net margin of 11.0% is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 3.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 34.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 66.1% five years ago to 34.0%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 78.3% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.55 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.59; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Diamondback Energy paid dividends worth 3.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Diamondback Energy yields 3.0%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 9 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$135.75

The share price is 33% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$180.98Price$135.75Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E10.2×10.0×10.4×$74.6240%
EV/EBITDA5.8×6.4×5.3×$113.8035%
P/B1.5×1.7×1.3×$207.5110%
Earnings power8.3% cost of equity––$302.1615%
Fair value$135.75100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 10.0
  • Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median 10.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$417.38M
Value traded per 1% price move
$330.14M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
11.9%
Volatility (annualized)
34%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.61
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.69

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Operating margin

8.4%+203.1 pts over 5 years

Net margin

11.1%+171.7 pts over 5 years

See a number that looks wrong?