Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $50.68BP/E 24.7Yield 2.21%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed9 of 30 checks passed
Diamondback Energy passes 9 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
Low debt
Debt is 34.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 15.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 78.3% of total debt.
Guidance raised
Diamondback Energy raised its 2026 Operated drilling and completion outlook on Nov 2, 2026.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 33.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $180.98 is above our fair value estimate of $135.75.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 5.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 3.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation1/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Diamondback Energy's P/E of 24.7 is above its own 5-year median of 10.0.
P/E above the industry
Diamondback Energy's P/E of 24.7 is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 10.4.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Diamondback Energy's EV/EBITDA of 9.1 is above its 5-year median of 6.4.
P/B below the industry
Diamondback Energy's price-to-book of 1.30 is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 1.33.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $180.98 is above our fair value estimate of $135.75.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 33.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 15.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -38.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 21.1% over the last twelve months; the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median is 8.7%.
Guidance raised
Diamondback Energy raised its 2026 Operated drilling and completion outlook on Nov 2, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 5.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 18.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 3.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Diamondback Energy's return on equity of 5.3% is below the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 5.5%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 11.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 31.2%.
Net margin above the industry
Diamondback Energy's net margin of 11.0% is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 3.8%.
Financial health3/6
Low debt
Debt is 34.0% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 66.1% five years ago to 34.0%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 78.3% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.55 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.59; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
Diamondback Energy paid dividends worth 3.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Diamondback Energy yields 3.0%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 9 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$135.75
The share price is 33% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 10.2× | 10.0× | 10.4× | $74.62 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.8× | 6.4× | 5.3× | $113.80 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.5× | 1.7× | 1.3× | $207.51 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 8.3% cost of equity | – | – | $302.16 | 15% |
| Fair value | $135.75 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 10.0
- Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median 10.4
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $417.38M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $330.14M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 11.9%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 34%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.61
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.69
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +35.8% | +15.9% | +39.8% | – | |
| Operating income | -71.2% | -42.1% | – | – | |
| Net income | -50.1% | -27.6% | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -63.1% | -38.5% | – | – | |
| Dividend per share | -51.7% | -23.6% | +21.3% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -5.9% | -41.0% | 4.5% | |
| Return on assets | -4.1% | -22.0% | 2.4% | |
| Current ratio | 8.56 | 0.49 | 0.42 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.30 | 0.66 | 0.39 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | -5.12× | -1.37× | 2.28× | |
| Interest coverage | -1.7× | -27.8× | 5.2× | |
| Diluted shares | 75M | 158M | 289M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Diamondback Energy does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 11.1% | 0.22× | 1.85× | 4.5% |
| FY2024 | 30.2% | 0.23× | 1.77× | 12.3% |
| FY2023 | 37.4% | 0.30× | 1.75× | 19.9% |
| FY2022 | 45.5% | 0.39× | 1.81× | 32.4% |
| FY2021 | 32.1% | 0.34× | 1.94× | 20.9% |
| FY2020 | -160.6% | 0.14× | 1.87× | -41.0% |
| FY2019 | 6.1% | 0.18× | 1.67× | 1.8% |
| FY2018 | 38.9% | 0.15× | 1.55× | 8.9% |
| FY2017 | 40.0% | 0.18× | 1.47× | 10.8% |
| FY2016 | -31.3% | 0.13× | 1.45× | -5.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$1.66B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$8.76B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year11.5% → 2.5%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$8.76B vs $1.66B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell17.9% → 19.3%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.44 → 0.42
- No dilutionShare count did not rise214M → 289M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.38 → 0.22
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