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Permian Resources Corp (PR) stock analysis

PRNYSECrude Petroleum & Natural GasFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 11/302% above fair value
$22.32+0.60 (+2.76%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $18.69BP/E 11.6Yield 2.69%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance4Health3Dividend2

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

Permian Resources passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 14.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 24.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 33.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 10.3 times.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 2.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $22.32 is above our fair value estimate of $21.89.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -7.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Permian Resources's P/E of 11.6 is above its own 5-year median of 11.3.

  • P/E above the industry

    Permian Resources's P/E of 11.6 is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 10.4.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Permian Resources's EV/EBITDA of 8.5 is above its 5-year median of 7.4.

  • P/B above the industry

    Permian Resources's price-to-book of 1.52 is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 1.33.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $22.32 is above our fair value estimate of $21.89.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 2.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 33.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -7.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 22.8% over the last twelve months; the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median is 8.7%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Permian Resources lowered its 2026 FY Cash general and administrative ($/Boe) (1) outlook on Feb 25, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 14.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 14.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Permian Resources's return on equity of 14.3% is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 5.5%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 25.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.2%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Permian Resources's net margin of 25.0% is above the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median of 3.8%.

Financial health3/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 24.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 147% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 10.3 times.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.50 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.53; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Permian Resources paid dividends worth 2.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Permian Resources yields 2.8%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 33.1% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$21.89

The share price is 2% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$22.32Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E10.8×11.3×10.4×$20.8140%
EV/EBITDA6.3×7.4×5.3×$15.8035%
P/B1.2×1.1×1.3×$17.5110%
Earnings power8.8% cost of equity––$41.8715%
Fair value$21.89100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 11.3
  • Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas median 10.4

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$228.72M
Value traded per 1% price move
$133.04M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
11.1%
Volatility (annualized)
35%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.86
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.78

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2016 to 2025

Operating margin

28.9%+163.3 pts over 5 years

Net margin

18.5%+136.1 pts over 5 years

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