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Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) stock analysis

ARLPNasdaqBituminous Coal & Lignite Surface MiningFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through fiscal 2025, year ended Dec 31, 2025Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 6, 2026Score 10/3039% below fair value
$25.27+0.02 (+0.08%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $3.25BP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 12, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth0Performance1Health3Dividend3

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

Alliance Resource Partners LP passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 16 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 38.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $25.27 is below our fair value estimate of $41.21.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 9.7 times.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 97.4% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -3.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.62; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -10.4% over the last twelve months; the Energy median is 1.9%.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 14.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.9%.

Valuation3/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/S below the industry

    Alliance Resource Partners LP's price-to-sales of 1.48 is below the Energy median of 1.57 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $25.27 is below our fair value estimate of $41.21.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 38.7% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth0/6

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -3.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -10.4% over the last twelve months; the Energy median is 1.9%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance1/6

  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 14.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 17.9%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Alliance Resource Partners LP's net margin of 14.2% is above the Energy median of 4.9%.

Financial health3/6

  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 97.4% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 9.7 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.37 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.62; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6

  • Pays a dividend

    Alliance Resource Partners LP paid dividends worth 9.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 9.5% yield is above the 4.6% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.9% or more; Alliance Resource Partners LP yields 9.5%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

Our estimate per share

$41.21

The share price is 39% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$25.27Price$41.21Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
EV/EBITDA7.8×–7.8×$37.1870%
Earnings power7.5% cost of equity––$50.6330%
Fair value$41.21100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$8.15M
Value traded per 1% price move
$8.09M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
10.9%
Volatility (annualized)
21%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.10
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.23

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

17.6%+23.8 pts over 5 years

Net margin

14.2%+23.9 pts over 5 years

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