NACCO Industries Inc (NC) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $265.57MP/E 17.9Yield 2.80%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
NACCO Industries passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 2/6
What stands out
Low debt
Debt is 1.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 3.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 493% of total debt.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 51.8% of net income.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 4.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $35.23 is above our fair value estimate of $33.85.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 3.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 5.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation1/6
P/E above its 5-year median
NACCO Industries's P/E of 17.9 is above its own 5-year median of 7.8.
P/E above the industry
NACCO Industries's P/E of 17.9 is above the Energy median of 13.8.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
NACCO Industries's EV/EBITDA of 4.4 is above its 5-year median of 3.2.
P/B below the industry
NACCO Industries's price-to-book of 0.60 is below the Energy median of 1.49.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $35.23 is above our fair value estimate of $33.85.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 4.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 4.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -38.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -48.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.5% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 0.5% over the last twelve months; the Energy median is 1.9%.
Guidance lowered
NACCO Industries lowered its remainder of the year investing outlook on Aug 5, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 18.9% over the last twelve months, against 12.4% a year earlier.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 3.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 5.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
NACCO Industries's return on equity of 3.4% is below the Energy median of 7.2%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 3.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 5.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.6%.
Net margin above the industry
NACCO Industries's net margin of 5.3% is above the Energy median of 4.9%.
Financial health4/6
Low debt
Debt is 1.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 8.8% five years ago to 1.8%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 493% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 4.0 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 3.16 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.20; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend2/6
Pays a dividend
NACCO Industries paid dividends worth 2.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.9% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; NACCO Industries yields 2.9%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 51.8% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$33.85
The share price is 4% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 10.8× | 7.8× | 13.8× | $21.20 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.5× | 3.2× | 7.9× | $42.94 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.1× | 0.7× | 1.5× | $62.98 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 7.9% cost of equity | – | – | $26.98 | 15% |
| Fair value | $33.85 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 7.8
- Energy median 13.8
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
High risk
- Average value traded per day
- $876.18K
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $512.81K
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 13.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 39%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.68
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.61
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +16.6% | +4.7% | +16.6% | +6.5% | |
| Gross profit | +29.3% | -17.2% | +17.8% | – | |
| Operating income | -38.4% | -32.0% | +10.3% | – | |
| Net income | -47.9% | -38.1% | +3.5% | -2.2% | |
| EPS, diluted | -48.4% | -38.4% | +2.3% | -2.8% | |
| Free cash flow | – | -55.1% | – | -31.7% | |
| Dividend per share | +9.4% | +6.3% | +5.1% | -0.6% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 14.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | |
| Return on assets | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | |
| Current ratio | 1.72 | 3.60 | 3.09 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.44 | 0.09 | – | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.35× | -1.96× | – | |
| Interest coverage | -0.4× | 9.9× | 3.8× | |
| Inventory turnover | 1.0× | 2.5× | 3.0× | |
| Capex to revenue | 9.2% | 23.5% | 17.5% | |
| Diluted shares | 7M | 7M | 7M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
NACCO Industries generated $270.30M from operations and spent $278.11M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 83% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 6.3% | 0.43× | 1.55× | 4.2% |
| FY2024 | 14.2% | 0.41× | 1.49× | 8.6% |
| FY2023 | -18.4% | 0.39× | 1.37× | -9.8% |
| FY2022 | 30.7% | 0.45× | 1.38× | 19.0% |
| FY2021 | 25.1% | 0.39× | 1.51× | 14.7% |
| FY2020 | 11.5% | 0.28× | 1.56× | 5.0% |
| FY2019 | 28.1% | 0.34× | 1.52× | 14.7% |
| FY2018 | 25.7% | 0.35× | 1.63× | 14.8% |
| FY2017 | 29.0% | 0.20× | 2.40× | 13.8% |
| FY2016 | 26.7% | 0.17× | 3.14× | 14.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$17.57M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$50.91M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year6.3% → 2.8%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$50.91M vs $17.57M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose4.08 → 3.09
- No dilutionShare count did not rise7M → 7M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year12.52% → 13.88%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.44 → 0.44
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