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NACCO Industries Inc (NC) stock analysis

NCNYSEBituminous Coal & Lignite Surface MiningFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 10/304% above fair value
$35.19−0.04 (-0.11%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $265.57MP/E 17.9Yield 2.80%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth1Performance2Health4Dividend2

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

NACCO Industries passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 1.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 3.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 493% of total debt.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 51.8% of net income.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 4.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $35.23 is above our fair value estimate of $33.85.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 3.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    NACCO Industries's P/E of 17.9 is above its own 5-year median of 7.8.

  • P/E above the industry

    NACCO Industries's P/E of 17.9 is above the Energy median of 13.8.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    NACCO Industries's EV/EBITDA of 4.4 is above its 5-year median of 3.2.

  • P/B below the industry

    NACCO Industries's price-to-book of 0.60 is below the Energy median of 1.49.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $35.23 is above our fair value estimate of $33.85.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 4.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -38.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -48.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.5% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 0.5% over the last twelve months; the Energy median is 1.9%.

  • Guidance lowered

    NACCO Industries lowered its remainder of the year investing outlook on Aug 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 18.9% over the last twelve months, against 12.4% a year earlier.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 3.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 5.1%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    NACCO Industries's return on equity of 3.4% is below the Energy median of 7.2%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 3.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 5.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 11.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    NACCO Industries's net margin of 5.3% is above the Energy median of 4.9%.

Financial health4/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 1.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 8.8% five years ago to 1.8%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 493% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.0 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.16 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.20; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    NACCO Industries paid dividends worth 2.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.9% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; NACCO Industries yields 2.9%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 51.8% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$33.85

The share price is 4% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$35.23Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E10.8×7.8×13.8×$21.2040%
EV/EBITDA5.5×3.2×7.9×$42.9435%
P/B1.1×0.7×1.5×$62.9810%
Earnings power7.9% cost of equity––$26.9815%
Fair value$33.85100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 7.8
  • Energy median 13.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$876.18K
Value traded per 1% price move
$512.81K

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
13.2%
Volatility (annualized)
39%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.68
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.61

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

13.9%+0.7 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

7.9%−2.5 pts over 5 years

Net margin

6.3%−5.2 pts over 5 years

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