Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) stock analysis

P/E against its history

Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

P/E against the industry

Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

Alpha Metallurgical Resources's EV/EBITDA of 16.2 is above its 5-year median of 4.1.

P/B below the industry

Alpha Metallurgical Resources's price-to-book of 1.33 is below the Energy median of 1.49.

Trading below fair value

The share price of $156.98 is below our fair value estimate of $158.06.

Margin of safety under 20%

The price is 0.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Revenue growing under 10% a year

Revenue grew -19.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

EPS growth over 3 years

Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

Earnings acceleration

Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

Growing slower than the industry

Revenue grew -5.7% over the last twelve months; the Energy median is 1.9%.

Guidance raised

Alpha Metallurgical Resources raised its 2026 cost of coal sales guidance outlook on Jul 27, 2026.

Gross margin slipping

Gross margin was 9.3% over the last twelve months, against 10.8% a year earlier.

Return on equity under 15%

Return on equity was -3.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 55.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

Return on capital under 10%

Return on invested capital was -3.4%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Return on equity below the industry

Alpha Metallurgical Resources's return on equity of -3.2% is below the Energy median of 7.2%.

Earnings over 5 years

Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

Net margin below its 5-year average

Net margin was -2.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 14.5%.

Net margin below the industry

Alpha Metallurgical Resources's net margin of -2.4% is below the Energy median of 4.9%.

Low debt

Debt is 0.7% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

Debt falling against equity

Debt to equity fell from 291% five years ago to 0.7%.

Debt covered by cash flow

Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 1275% of total debt.

Interest not well covered

Operating income covers interest expense -14.4 times; we look for at least 5.

Short-term assets cover short-term debts

Current assets are 3.00 times current liabilities.

Low bankruptcy risk

The Altman Z-score is 4.00; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

No dividend

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

Yield against Treasuries

No dividend.

Yield against the market

No dividend.

Dividend stability

No dividend.

Earnings cover

No dividend.

Cash-flow cover

No dividend.