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ORIX Corp (ORXCF) stock analysis

ORXCFOTCMiscellaneous Business Credit InstitutionFiscal year ends March 31Also trades as IX
Financials through fiscal 2025, year ended Mar 31, 2026Last filing: 20-F on Jun 22, 2026Score 6/30
$38.61+1.33 (+3.58%)

Close on Oct 19, 2026Market cap $43.40BP/E –Yield 2.50%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth1Performance3Health2Dividend0

Weak6 of 30 checks passed

ORIX passes 6 of the 30 checks behind our score; 16 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 12.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 18.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 27.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.4% a year.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 239% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 8.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.4 times; we look for at least 5.

Valuation0/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B against the industry

    Needs positive book value.

  • Price against fair value

    We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.

  • Margin of safety

    Depends on the fair value estimate.

Growth1/6

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.7% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 27.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.4% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 15.9% over the last twelve months; the Non-depository Credit Institutions median is 19.6%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance3/6

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 10.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 8.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    ORIX's return on equity of 10.4% is below the Non-depository Credit Institutions median of 11.3%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 18.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 13.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 12.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    ORIX's net margin of 13.4% is above the Non-depository Credit Institutions median of 11.6%.

Financial health2/6

  • Low debt

    Debt is 12.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 10.1% five years ago to 12.8%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 239% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.4 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)

    Needs market value, working capital and retained earnings.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    ORIX has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

We don't publish a fair value for ORIX. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$11.84M
Value traded per 1% price move
$9.36M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
16.2%
Volatility (annualized)
29%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.64
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.73

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

13.7%+2.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

13.4%+5.0 pts over 5 years