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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOBP) stock analysis

CNOBPNasdaqState Commercial BanksFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as CNOB
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 17/302% below fair value
$25.39−0.01 (-0.04%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $1.28BP/E 8.9Yield 2.84%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth2Performance3Health5Dividend3

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

ConnectOne Bancorp passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $32.11 is below our fair value estimate of $32.79.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 2.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 145% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.4% a year.

  • P/E below the industry

    ConnectOne Bancorp's P/E of 11.2 is below the Commercial Banks median of 12.3.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 2.1% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -18.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    ConnectOne Bancorp's P/E of 11.2 is above its own 5-year median of 10.5.

  • P/E below the industry

    ConnectOne Bancorp's P/E of 11.2 is below the Commercial Banks median of 12.3.

  • P/S below the industry

    ConnectOne Bancorp's price-to-sales of 3.57 is below the Commercial Banks median of 3.64.

  • P/B below the industry

    ConnectOne Bancorp's price-to-book of 1.01 is below the Commercial Banks median of 1.27.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $32.11 is below our fair value estimate of $32.79.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 2.1% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -18.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 145% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.4% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 31.5% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.4%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (fourth quarter of 2026 Transaction costs related to the restructuring, Oct 22, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 9.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 8.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets over 1%

    Return on assets was 1.0%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    ConnectOne Bancorp's return on equity of 9.6% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.2%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 2.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 33.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 33.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    ConnectOne Bancorp's net margin of 33.2% is above the Commercial Banks median of 30.0%.

Financial health5/6
  • Well capitalized

    Equity is 10.8% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Loans equal 96.0% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.

  • Adequate loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is 1.1% of loans; we look for at least 1%.

  • Efficient operations

    Non-interest expense takes 49.8% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.

  • Deposits growing

    Deposits grew 3.6% over the past year.

  • Borrowings

    Needs debt and equity figures.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    ConnectOne Bancorp paid dividends worth 2.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; ConnectOne Bancorp yields 2.3%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 25.1% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 21.1% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$32.79

The share price is 2% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$32.11Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E11.4×10.5×12.3×$32.5250%
P/B1.0×0.8×1.3×$33.0650%
Fair value$32.79100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 10.5
  • Commercial Banks median 12.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$11.16M
Value traded per 1% price move
$11.43M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
8.0%
Volatility (annualized)
25%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.19
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.79

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

20.7%−7.5 pts over 5 years