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Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL) stock analysis

TPLNYSEOil Royalty TradersFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 15/3019% above fair value
$281.42+6.79 (+2.47%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $19.41BP/E 33.1Yield 0.76%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth2Performance5Health3Dividend3

Solid15 of 30 checks passed

Texas Pacific Land passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 37.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 46.7% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 51.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 22.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 23.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 22.3% a year.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $281.42 is above our fair value estimate of $237.32.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 2.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Texas Pacific Land's P/E of 33.1 is below its own 5-year median of 41.8.

  • P/E above the industry

    Texas Pacific Land's P/E of 33.1 is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 26.3.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Texas Pacific Land's EV/EBITDA of 23.6 is below its 5-year median of 30.8.

  • P/B above the industry

    Texas Pacific Land's price-to-book of 10.77 is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 1.20.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $281.42 is above our fair value estimate of $237.32.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 18.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 6.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 2.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 23.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 22.3% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 25.3% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Investing median is 4.6%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 37.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 46.7% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 51.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Texas Pacific Land's return on equity of 37.1% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 3.1%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 22.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 60.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 63.1%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Texas Pacific Land's net margin of 60.7% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 10.3%.

Financial health3/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 201.1 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 5.41 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 65.96; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Texas Pacific Land paid dividends worth 0.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Texas Pacific Land yields 0.8%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 5 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 27.5% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$237.32

The share price is 19% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$281.42Price$237.32Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E34.1×41.8×26.3×$290.3044%
EV/EBITDA20.2×30.8×9.5×$241.8839%
Earnings power8.2% cost of equity––$85.4117%
Fair value$237.32100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 41.8
  • Miscellaneous Investing median 26.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$122.78M
Value traded per 1% price move
$64.18M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
23.1%
Volatility (annualized)
50%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.39
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.67

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2017 to 2025

Operating margin

74.2%+2.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

60.3%+2.1 pts over 5 years

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