Royal Gold Inc (RGLD) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $22.78BP/E 27.1Yield 0.68%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid20 of 30 checks passed
Royal Gold passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 2 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 5/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 15.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 1.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 37.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 18.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 24.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $268.84 is above our fair value estimate of $216.37.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 15.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
P/E above the industry
Royal Gold's P/E of 27.1 is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 26.3.
Valuation2/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Royal Gold's P/E of 27.1 is below its own 5-year median of 27.5.
P/E above the industry
Royal Gold's P/E of 27.1 is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 26.3.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Royal Gold's EV/EBITDA of 15.8 is below its 5-year median of 16.7.
P/B above the industry
Royal Gold's price-to-book of 2.95 is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 1.20.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $268.84 is above our fair value estimate of $216.37.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 24.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth5/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 18.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 13.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 74.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 37.8% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 105% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Investing median is 4.6%.
Guidance raised
Royal Gold raised its 2026 DD&A outlook on Aug 5, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 66.2% over the last twelve months, against 71.6% a year earlier.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 15.1% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 15.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Royal Gold's return on equity of 15.1% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 3.1%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 37.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 47.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 44.0%.
Net margin above the industry
Royal Gold's net margin of 47.7% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 10.3%.
Financial health5/6
Low debt
Debt is 1.9% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 10.0% five years ago to 1.9%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 831% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.40 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 9.48; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Royal Gold paid dividends worth 0.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.7% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Royal Gold yields 0.7%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 17.9% of net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$216.37
The share price is 24% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 26.9× | 27.5× | 26.3× | $267.13 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.1× | 16.7× | 9.5× | $223.19 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.1× | 2.9× | 1.2× | $189.46 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 7.8% cost of equity | – | – | $83.02 | 15% |
| Fair value | $216.37 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 27.5
- Miscellaneous Investing median 26.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $161.89M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $78.36M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 20.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 42%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.98
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.59
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2010 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +43.2% | – | +15.6% | +15.5% | |
| Gross profit | +51.6% | – | +24.8% | +11.3% | |
| Operating income | +48.4% | – | +26.3% | +22.0% | |
| Net income | +40.4% | – | +18.5% | +24.5% | |
| EPS, diluted | +32.7% | – | +17.2% | +23.7% | |
| Dividend per share | +10.6% | – | +10.5% | +7.7% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2015 | FY2019 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 2.2% | 4.4% | 9.1% | |
| Return on assets | 1.8% | 3.6% | 7.2% | |
| Current ratio | 31.92 | 4.60 | 3.12 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.13 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | -2.37× | 0.31× | 0.81× | |
| Diluted shares | 65M | 66M | 70M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Royal Gold does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 45.2% | 0.16× | 1.26× | 9.1% |
| FY2024 | 46.2% | 0.21× | 1.12× | 11.1% |
| FY2021 | 49.1% | 0.23× | 1.14× | 12.7% |
| FY2020 | 40.0% | 0.19× | 1.20× | 9.0% |
| FY2019 | 22.2% | 0.16× | 1.23× | 4.4% |
| FY2018 | -24.6% | 0.16× | 1.32× | -5.2% |
| FY2017 | 23.0% | 0.14× | 1.37× | 4.5% |
| FY2016 | -26.7% | 0.10× | 1.31× | -3.4% |
| FY2015 | 21.2% | 0.08× | 1.23× | 2.2% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$466.28M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$704.85M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year9.9% → 13.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$704.85M vs $466.28M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell0.0% → 9.4%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose3.23 → 3.12
- No dilutionShare count did not rise66M → 70M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year65.50% → 69.32%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.21 → 0.30
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