Smithfield Foods Inc (SFD) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $7.54BP/E 8.4Yield 5.22%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid19 of 30 checks passed
Smithfield Foods passes 19 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 4/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 6/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 55.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $19.14 is below our fair value estimate of $42.84.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 11.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 28.6% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 13.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -1.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 3.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 4.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 40.0% a year.
Valuation4/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E below the industry
Smithfield Foods's P/E of 8.4 is below the Food and Kindred Products median of 21.0.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B below the industry
Smithfield Foods's price-to-book of 1.07 is below the Food and Kindred Products median of 2.12.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $19.14 is below our fair value estimate of $42.84.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 55.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -1.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 3.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 4.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 40.0% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -0.6% over the last twelve months; the Food and Kindred Products median is 0.6%.
Guidance raised
Smithfield Foods raised its fiscal 2026 Total Company adjusted operating profit outlook on Aug 11, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 12.6% over the last twelve months, against 13.2% a year earlier.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 13.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 12.0% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 11.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Smithfield Foods's return on equity of 13.4% is above the Food and Kindred Products median of 6.2%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 40.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 5.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.3%.
Net margin above the industry
Smithfield Foods's net margin of 5.9% is above the Food and Kindred Products median of 2.3%.
Financial health6/6
Low debt
Debt is 28.6% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 80.9% five years ago to 28.6%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 65.0% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 38.3 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.39 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.19; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
Smithfield Foods paid dividends worth 7.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 7.8% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Smithfield Foods yields 7.8%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$42.84
The share price is 55% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 21.0× | – | 21.0× | $47.81 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.5× | – | 13.5× | $48.91 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.1× | – | 2.1× | $37.76 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $18.80 | 15% |
| Fair value | $42.84 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Food and Kindred Products median 21.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $38.62M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $33.77M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 16.2%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 26%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.66
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.21
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2008 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +9.8% | -1.4% | – | +0.7% | |
| Gross profit | +10.1% | +11.8% | – | +1.8% | |
| Operating income | +15.6% | +5.0% | – | +5.0% | |
| Net income | +3.6% | +4.3% | – | +8.1% | |
| EPS, diluted | 0.0% | +3.1% | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | +26.9% | +57.7% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2009 | FY2013 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | 5.7% | 15.6% | |
| Return on assets | – | 2.4% | 8.5% | |
| Current ratio | – | 2.03 | 2.97 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 0.81 | 0.29 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | 2.89× | 0.29× | |
| Interest coverage | -1.0× | 3.1× | 31.5× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | 5.4× | 5.7× | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | |
| Diluted shares | 53627.74B | 55642.10B | 393M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Smithfield Foods does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 6.4% | 1.34× | 1.84× | 15.6% |
| FY2024 | 6.7% | 1.16× | 1.86× | 14.6% |
| FY2013 | 1.4% | 1.75× | 2.33× | 5.7% |
| FY2012 | 2.8% | 1.74× | 2.17× | 10.4% |
| FY2011 | 4.3% | 1.59× | 2.43× | 16.5% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$987.00M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.06B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year7.2% → 8.9%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.06B vs $987.00M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell18.1% → 16.4%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.46 → 2.97
- No dilutionShare count did not rise380M → 393M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year13.41% → 13.45%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.06 → 1.41
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