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Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG) stock analysis

CAGNYSEFood and Kindred ProductsFiscal year ends May 30
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Aug 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Sep 30, 2026Score 10/3051% below fair value
$14.83−0.36 (-2.37%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $7.08BP/E –Yield 9.44%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth1Performance0Health2Dividend5

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

Conagra Brands passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 13 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
5/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 51.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $14.83 is below our fair value estimate of $30.45.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 156% of total debt.

  • Guidance raised

    Conagra Brands raised its fiscal 2027 Interest expense outlook on Sep 30, 2026.

What to watch

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.05; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • P/S above the industry

    Conagra Brands's price-to-sales of 0.63 is above the Food and Kindred Products median of 0.58 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -1.8% over the last twelve months; the Food and Kindred Products median is 1.4%.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/S above the industry

    Conagra Brands's price-to-sales of 0.63 is above the Food and Kindred Products median of 0.58 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $14.83 is below our fair value estimate of $30.45.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 51.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -1.8% over the last twelve months; the Food and Kindred Products median is 1.4%.

  • Guidance raised

    Conagra Brands raised its fiscal 2027 Interest expense outlook on Sep 30, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 23.8% over the last twelve months, against 25.4% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was -17.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.8%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Conagra Brands's net margin of -17.0% is below the Food and Kindred Products median of -4.1%.

Financial health2/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 156% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.10 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.05; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend5/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Conagra Brands paid dividends worth 5.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 5.9% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Conagra Brands yields 5.9%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 76.4% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$30.45

The share price is 51% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$14.83Price$30.45Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/S0.9×1.1×0.6×$20.2740%
Earnings power7.4% cost of equity––$37.2460%
Fair value$30.45100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 18.7
  • Food and Kindred Products median 21.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$169.51M
Value traded per 1% price move
$95.52M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
18.4%
Volatility (annualized)
32%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.53
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.14

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

23.9%−4.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

-14.4%−33.6 pts over 5 years

Net margin

-17.0%−28.6 pts over 5 years

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