Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $7.08BP/E –Yield 9.44%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Conagra Brands passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 13 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 5/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 51.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $14.83 is below our fair value estimate of $30.45.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 156% of total debt.
Guidance raised
Conagra Brands raised its fiscal 2027 Interest expense outlook on Sep 30, 2026.
What to watch
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -2.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.05; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
P/S above the industry
Conagra Brands's price-to-sales of 0.63 is above the Food and Kindred Products median of 0.58 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -1.8% over the last twelve months; the Food and Kindred Products median is 1.4%.
Valuation2/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/S above the industry
Conagra Brands's price-to-sales of 0.63 is above the Food and Kindred Products median of 0.58 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Trading below fair value
The share price of $14.83 is below our fair value estimate of $30.45.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 51.3% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -2.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -1.8% over the last twelve months; the Food and Kindred Products median is 1.4%.
Guidance raised
Conagra Brands raised its fiscal 2027 Interest expense outlook on Sep 30, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 23.8% over the last twelve months, against 25.4% a year earlier.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was -17.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.8%.
Net margin below the industry
Conagra Brands's net margin of -17.0% is below the Food and Kindred Products median of -4.1%.
Financial health2/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 156% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.10 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.05; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend5/6
Pays a dividend
Conagra Brands paid dividends worth 5.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 5.9% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Conagra Brands yields 5.9%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 76.4% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$30.45
The share price is 51% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/S | 0.9× | 1.1× | 0.6× | $20.27 | 40% |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $37.24 | 60% |
| Fair value | $30.45 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 18.7
- Food and Kindred Products median 21.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $169.51M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $95.52M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 18.4%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 32%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.53
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.14
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -2.9% | -2.8% | +0.2% | +2.7% | |
| Gross profit | -10.2% | -6.2% | -3.2% | +1.1% | |
| Free cash flow | -24.9% | +15.6% | +0.4% | -0.0% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | +2.0% | +6.2% | +3.4% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 16.6% | 15.8% | – | |
| Return on assets | 5.4% | 5.8% | -10.0% | |
| Current ratio | 1.17 | 0.82 | 0.90 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.74 | 1.05 | – | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.80× | 3.53× | -5.72× | |
| Inventory turnover | 5.6× | 5.2× | 4.3× | |
| Capex to revenue | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | |
| Diluted shares | 436M | 488M | 479M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Conagra Brands generated $7.28B from operations and spent $5.51B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 37% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 9.9% | 0.56× | 2.41× | 13.3% |
| FY2024 | 2.9% | 0.56× | 2.50× | 4.0% |
| FY2023 | 5.6% | 0.55× | 2.54× | 7.8% |
| FY2022 | 7.7% | 0.52× | 2.57× | 10.2% |
| FY2021 | 11.6% | 0.50× | 2.71× | 15.8% |
| FY2020 | 7.6% | 0.50× | 2.92× | 11.0% |
| FY2019 | 7.1% | 0.59× | 2.95× | 12.3% |
| FY2018 | 10.2% | 0.78× | 2.67× | 21.1% |
| FY2017 | 8.2% | 0.67× | 3.05× | 16.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero-$1.92B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$1.40B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year5.5% → -9.2%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$1.40B vs -$1.92B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell29.8% → 37.4%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.71 → 0.90
- No dilutionShare count did not rise480M → 479M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year25.86% → 23.92%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.56 → 0.54
See a number that looks wrong?