Portillo's Inc. (PTLO) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $515.65MP/E 30.9Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Weak7 of 30 checks passed
Portillo's passes 7 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 3/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 2/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $6.79 is below our fair value estimate of $7.92.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 26.1% of total debt.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Portillo's's EV/EBITDA of 11.7 is below its 5-year median of 13.4.
P/B below the industry
Portillo's's price-to-book of 1.06 is below the Eating and Drinking Places median of 3.18.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 14.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 3.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 2.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 4.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
High debt
Debt is 66.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Valuation3/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Portillo's's P/E of 30.9 is above its own 5-year median of 26.8.
P/E above the industry
Portillo's's P/E of 30.9 is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 28.0.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Portillo's's EV/EBITDA of 11.7 is below its 5-year median of 13.4.
P/B below the industry
Portillo's's price-to-book of 1.06 is below the Eating and Drinking Places median of 3.18.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $6.79 is below our fair value estimate of $7.92.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 14.3% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 2.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 4.2% over the last twelve months; the Eating and Drinking Places median is 5.9%.
Guidance lowered
Portillo's lowered its fiscal 2026 General and administrative expenses outlook on Aug 5, 2026.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance2/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 3.6% over the last twelve months and averaged 2.9% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 4.5%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Portillo's's return on equity of 3.6% is below the Eating and Drinking Places median of 7.9%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 2.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 1.7%.
Net margin above the industry
Portillo's's net margin of 2.3% is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 1.9%.
Financial health2/6
High debt
Debt is 66.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 334% five years ago to 66.8%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 26.1% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 1.8 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.27 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.80; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Portillo's has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$7.92
The share price is 14% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 27.5× | 26.8× | 28.0× | $6.05 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.5× | 13.4× | 11.9× | $7.96 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.7× | 1.9× | 3.2× | $17.08 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 10.5% cost of equity | – | – | $6.70 | 15% |
| Fair value | $7.92 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 26.8
- Eating and Drinking Places median 28.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $12.87M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $2.82M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 35.1%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 62%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.66
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.08
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2018 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +3.0% | +7.6% | +10.0% | – | |
| Operating income | -24.7% | +1.9% | -5.3% | – | |
| Net income | -34.5% | +21.3% | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | -41.3% | +2.6% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
8 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2018 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | -5.7% | 4.5% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 1.2% | |
| Current ratio | – | 0.82 | 0.27 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 3.34 | 0.71 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | 5.23× | 4.32× | |
| Interest coverage | – | 1.3× | 1.9× | |
| Inventory turnover | – | – | – | |
| Capex to revenue | – | 4.7% | 12.4% | |
| Diluted shares | – | 51M | 71M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Portillo's generated $340.50M from operations and spent $349.79M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 100% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 2.6% | 0.47× | 3.58× | 4.5% |
| FY2024 | 4.2% | 0.49× | 3.99× | 8.2% |
| FY2023 | 2.7% | 0.51× | 4.61× | 6.4% |
| FY2022 | 1.8% | 0.52× | 5.33× | 5.1% |
| FY2021 | -2.8% | 0.56× | 6.12× | -9.7% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$19.35M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$71.91M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year2.1% → 1.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$71.91M vs $19.35M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell18.4% → 14.8%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.39 → 0.27
- No dilutionShare count did not rise64M → 71M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.51 → 0.49
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