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Dine Brands Global, Inc. (DIN) stock analysis

DINNYSERetail-Eating PlacesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 27, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 10/3034% below fair value
$37.18+0.42 (+1.14%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $470.67MP/E 109.4Yield 4.63%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth1Performance0Health4Dividend1

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

Dine Brands Global passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
1/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 34.4% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $37.18 is below our fair value estimate of $56.67.

  • No debt

    Dine Brands Global has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

What to watch

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -39.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.79; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Dine Brands Global's P/E of 109.4 is above its own 5-year median of 12.0.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Dine Brands Global's P/E of 109.4 is above its own 5-year median of 12.0.

  • P/E above the industry

    Dine Brands Global's P/E of 109.4 is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 28.5.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Dine Brands Global's EV/EBITDA of 7.0 is below its 5-year median of 8.9.

  • P/S below the industry

    Dine Brands Global's price-to-sales of 0.50 is below the Eating and Drinking Places median of 0.73 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $37.18 is below our fair value estimate of $56.67.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 34.4% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -1.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -39.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 7.6% over the last twelve months; the Eating and Drinking Places median is 5.9%.

  • Guidance unchanged

    The latest outlook (fiscal 2026 G&A expenses, May 6, 2026) was maintained, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 38.1% over the last twelve months, against 40.7% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 0.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.3%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Dine Brands Global's net margin of 0.4% is below the Eating and Drinking Places median of 1.9%.

Financial health4/6
  • No debt

    Dine Brands Global has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.87 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.79; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend1/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Dine Brands Global paid dividends worth 2.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 2.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Dine Brands Global yields 2.0%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 356% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$56.67

The share price is 34% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$37.18Price$56.67Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/Eleft out, too far from the others20.2×12.0×28.5×$6.86–
EV/EBITDA10.6×8.9×12.3×$52.4970%
Earnings power9.6% cost of equity––$66.4030%
Fair value$56.67100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 12.0
  • Eating and Drinking Places median 28.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$21.64M
Value traded per 1% price move
$5.89M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
20.3%
Volatility (annualized)
45%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.92
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.95

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

40.9%+4.8 pts over 5 years

Net margin

1.9%+17.0 pts over 5 years

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