MSG Knickerbockers Corp. (MSGK) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $7.77BP/E –Yield 2.17%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak2 of 30 checks passed
MSG Knickerbockers passes 2 of the 30 checks behind our score; 14 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 0/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 13.1% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median is 9.8%.
Pays a dividend
MSG Knickerbockers paid dividends worth 2.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 830% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $322.56 is above our fair value estimate of $34.68.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 9.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -44.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
MSG Knickerbockers's EV/EBITDA of 236.2 is above its 5-year median of 49.0.
P/S above the industry
MSG Knickerbockers's price-to-sales of 6.70 is above the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median of 3.06 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Trading above fair value
The share price of $322.56 is above our fair value estimate of $34.68.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 830% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 9.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -44.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 13.1% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median is 9.8%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was -1.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.2%.
Net margin below the industry
MSG Knickerbockers's net margin of -1.3% is below the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median of 1.6%.
Financial health0/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 0.5% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 1.5 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.44 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.93; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
MSG Knickerbockers paid dividends worth 2.2% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.2% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; MSG Knickerbockers yields 2.2%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$34.68
The share price is 830% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 30.0× | 49.0× | 12.4× | $31.61 | 70% |
| Earnings power | 8.0% cost of equity | – | – | $41.84 | 30% |
| Fair value | $34.68 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 84.3
- Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median 35.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $135.55M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $72.88M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 22.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 37%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.13
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.61
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2013 to 2026
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +11.0% | +9.1% | +22.6% | +0.3% | |
| Operating income | +94.9% | -30.3% | – | – | |
| Net income | – | -45.4% | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | – | -44.7% | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | -30.4% | -26.0% | – | +1.3% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | 0.0% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -2.9% | 6.8% | -2.8% | |
| Return on assets | -2.0% | -1.1% | 0.5% | |
| Current ratio | 1.90 | 0.50 | 0.50 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.04 | -1.88 | -0.98 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.05× | -4.29× | 2.93× | |
| Interest coverage | -13.4× | -7.4× | 1.4× | |
| Capex to revenue | 3.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| Diluted shares | 24M | 24M | 24M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
MSG Knickerbockers generated $576.93M from operations and spent $181.32M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 5% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 0.7% | 0.77× | -5.53× | -2.8% |
| FY2025 | -2.2% | 0.74× | -5.15× | 8.2% |
| FY2024 | 5.7% | 0.77× | -4.41× | -19.5% |
| FY2023 | 5.4% | 0.68× | -5.40× | -19.7% |
| FY2022 | 6.2% | 0.63× | -7.43× | -29.1% |
| FY2021 | -3.4% | 0.33× | -6.18× | 6.8% |
| FY2020 | -30.2% | 0.24× | 2.07× | -15.1% |
| FY2019 | 1.6% | 0.19× | 1.45× | 0.4% |
| FY2018 | 19.9% | 0.19× | 1.51× | 5.7% |
| FY2017 | -5.5% | 0.36× | 1.45× | -2.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$7.76M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$62.66M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-1.7% → 0.5%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$62.66M vs $7.76M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell18.1% → 15.7%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.45 → 0.50
- No dilutionShare count did not rise24M → 24M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.77 → 0.78
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