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Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (MSGE) stock analysis

MSGENYSEServices-Miscellaneous Amusement & RecreationFiscal year ends June 30
Financials through Q1 FY2027, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 5/3032% above fair value
$79.79+0.92 (+1.17%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.77BP/E 39.3Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth1Performance3Health1Dividend0

Weak5 of 30 checks passed

Madison Square Garden Entertainment passes 5 of the 30 checks behind our score; 12 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 31.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 54.2% of total debt.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 16.4% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median is 9.8%.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 8.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.8%.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 31.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $79.79 is above our fair value estimate of $60.48.

  • High debt

    Debt is 4730% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Madison Square Garden Entertainment's P/E of 39.3 is above its own 5-year median of 30.3.

  • P/E above the industry

    Madison Square Garden Entertainment's P/E of 39.3 is above the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median of 35.3.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Madison Square Garden Entertainment's EV/EBITDA of 17.5 is above its 5-year median of 15.8.

  • P/B above the industry

    Madison Square Garden Entertainment's price-to-book of 316.73 is above the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median of 3.09.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $79.79 is above our fair value estimate of $60.48.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 31.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 16.4% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median is 9.8%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 31.9%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 8.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Madison Square Garden Entertainment's net margin of 8.6% is above the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median of 1.6%.

Financial health1/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 4730% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 54.2% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.8 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.62 times current liabilities.

  • Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone

    The Altman Z-score is 2.15; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Madison Square Garden Entertainment has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$60.48

The share price is 32% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$79.79Price$60.48Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E33.7×30.3×35.3×$68.3644%
EV/EBITDA13.5×15.8×12.4×$59.6539%
P/Bleft out, too far from the others3.1×–3.1×$0.78–
Earnings power9.8% cost of equity––$41.3817%
Fair value$60.48100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 30.3
  • Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median 35.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$36.04M
Value traded per 1% price move
$21.06M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
9.7%
Volatility (annualized)
30%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.89
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.99

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2020 to 2026

Operating margin

13.3%+303.4 pts over 5 years

Net margin

6.2%+273.5 pts over 5 years

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