Altria Group, Inc. (MO) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $128.73BP/E 16.0Yield 5.38%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid15 of 30 checks passed
Altria passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 1/6
- Growth
- 2/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 2/6
- Dividend
- 6/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 43.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 9.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 39.2% of total debt.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 5.23; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 0.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $77.39 is above our fair value estimate of $77.37.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -2.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 8.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation1/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Altria's P/E of 16.0 is above its own 5-year median of 13.4.
P/E below the industry
Altria's P/E of 16.0 is below the Consumer staples median of 23.3.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Altria's EV/EBITDA of 13.3 is above its 5-year median of 9.9.
P/S above the industry
Altria's price-to-sales of 5.47 is above the Consumer staples median of 0.71 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Trading above fair value
The share price of $77.39 is above our fair value estimate of $77.37.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 0.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth2/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -2.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 8.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -8.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.2% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 0.5% over the last twelve months; the Consumer staples median is 3.7%.
Guidance raised
Altria raised its 2026 full-year adjusted diluted EPS outlook on Jul 30, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 63.3% over the last twelve months, against 62.0% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 43.8%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 9.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 34.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 28.5%.
Net margin above the industry
Altria's net margin of 34.5% is above the Consumer staples median of 1.9%.
Financial health2/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 39.2% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.58 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 5.23; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend6/6
Pays a dividend
Altria paid dividends worth 5.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 5.5% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Altria yields 5.5%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 87.7% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 78.4% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$77.37
The share price is 0% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 18.3× | 13.4× | 23.3× | $88.65 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.7× | 9.9× | 13.6× | $66.47 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $72.70 | 17% |
| Fair value | $77.37 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 13.4
- Consumer staples median 23.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $621.74M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $525.12M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 9.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 26%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.17
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.17
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -3.1% | -2.5% | -2.3% | -0.9% | |
| Gross profit | +1.2% | +0.7% | +2.2% | +2.7% | |
| Operating income | -11.9% | -6.0% | -1.9% | +1.7% | |
| Net income | -38.3% | +6.4% | +9.2% | +2.9% | |
| EPS, diluted | -37.0% | +8.9% | +11.4% | +4.4% | |
| Free cash flow | +5.4% | +4.1% | +2.2% | +4.9% | |
| Dividend per share | +4.0% | +4.2% | +4.1% | +6.7% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 182.0% | 98.6% | -242.1% | |
| Return on assets | 36.8% | 9.2% | 19.8% | |
| Current ratio | 0.98 | 0.79 | 0.65 | |
| Debt to equity | 1.09 | 10.38 | -7.34 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.03× | 2.20× | 2.09× | |
| Interest coverage | 11.6× | 8.9× | 8.4× | |
| Inventory turnover | 6.9× | 6.2× | 8.1× | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| Diluted shares | 1.95B | 1.86B | 1.68B |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Altria generated $43.99B from operations and spent $43.46B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 2% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 29.8% | 0.66× | -12.23× | -242.1% |
| FY2024 | 46.9% | 0.65× | -12.76× | -389.9% |
| FY2023 | 33.2% | 0.65× | -10.05× | -216.4% |
| FY2022 | 23.0% | 0.66× | -13.71× | -206.6% |
| FY2021 | 9.5% | 0.60× | 70.51× | 401.5% |
| FY2020 | 17.1% | 0.54× | 10.67× | 98.6% |
| FY2019 | -5.1% | 0.48× | 4.99× | -12.3% |
| FY2018 | 27.5% | 0.51× | 3.27× | 46.2% |
| FY2017 | 40.0% | 0.57× | 3.17× | 72.6% |
| FY2016 | 55.3% | 0.67× | 4.95× | 182.0% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$6.95B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$9.29B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year29.2% → 19.7%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$9.29B vs $6.95B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell66.5% → 68.9%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.51 → 0.65
- No dilutionShare count did not rise1.72B → 1.68B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year59.82% → 62.47%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.62 → 0.66
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