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Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) stock analysis

PMNYSECigarettesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 23, 2026Score 13/3040% above fair value
$196.35+2.10 (+1.08%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $306.04BP/E 28.7Yield 2.87%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth3Performance3Health3Dividend4

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Philip Morris International passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 38.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 7.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 24.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.1% a year.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 31.9% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 39.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $196.35 is above our fair value estimate of $140.68.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 8.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 7.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Philip Morris International's P/E of 28.7 is above its own 5-year median of 19.3.

  • P/E above the industry

    Philip Morris International's P/E of 28.7 is above the Consumer staples median of 23.3.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Philip Morris International's EV/EBITDA of 18.6 is above its 5-year median of 17.2.

  • P/S above the industry

    Philip Morris International's price-to-sales of 7.09 is above the Consumer staples median of 0.72 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $196.35 is above our fair value estimate of $140.68.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 39.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 8.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 7.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 24.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.1% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 7.9% over the last twelve months; the Consumer staples median is 3.7%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Philip Morris International lowered its 2026 Full-Year Reported diluted EPS outlook on Jul 22, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 67.7% over the last twelve months, against 67.0% a year earlier.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 38.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 7.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 24.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Philip Morris International's net margin of 24.8% is above the Consumer staples median of 1.9%.

Financial health3/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 31.9% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.02 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 4.78; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Philip Morris International paid dividends worth 3.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Philip Morris International yields 3.1%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 85.9% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 67.7% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$140.68

The share price is 40% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$196.35Price$140.68Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E21.3×19.3×23.3×$145.6744%
EV/EBITDA15.4×17.2×13.6×$158.8439%
Earnings power7.4% cost of equity––$84.9617%
Fair value$140.68100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 19.3
  • Consumer staples median 23.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$963.82M
Value traded per 1% price move
$713.37M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
11.5%
Volatility (annualized)
28%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.78
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.33

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

67.1%+0.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

36.6%−4.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

27.9%−0.2 pts over 5 years

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