Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $306.04BP/E 28.7Yield 2.87%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed13 of 30 checks passed
Philip Morris International passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 5 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 38.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 7.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 24.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.1% a year.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 31.9% of total debt.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 39.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $196.35 is above our fair value estimate of $140.68.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 8.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 7.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation0/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Philip Morris International's P/E of 28.7 is above its own 5-year median of 19.3.
P/E above the industry
Philip Morris International's P/E of 28.7 is above the Consumer staples median of 23.3.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Philip Morris International's EV/EBITDA of 18.6 is above its 5-year median of 17.2.
P/S above the industry
Philip Morris International's price-to-sales of 7.09 is above the Consumer staples median of 0.72 (book value is negative, so we use sales).
Trading above fair value
The share price of $196.35 is above our fair value estimate of $140.68.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 39.6% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 8.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 7.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 24.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.1% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 7.9% over the last twelve months; the Consumer staples median is 3.7%.
Guidance lowered
Philip Morris International lowered its 2026 Full-Year Reported diluted EPS outlook on Jul 22, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 67.7% over the last twelve months, against 67.0% a year earlier.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity
Needs positive equity and five years of results.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 38.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity against the industry
Needs positive equity.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 7.1% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 24.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 25.3%.
Net margin above the industry
Philip Morris International's net margin of 24.8% is above the Consumer staples median of 1.9%.
Financial health3/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 31.9% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.02 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 4.78; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Philip Morris International paid dividends worth 3.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 3.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Philip Morris International yields 3.1%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 85.9% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 67.7% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$140.68
The share price is 40% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 21.3× | 19.3× | 23.3× | $145.67 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 15.4× | 17.2× | 13.6× | $158.84 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 7.4% cost of equity | – | – | $84.96 | 17% |
| Fair value | $140.68 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 19.3
- Consumer staples median 23.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $963.82M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $713.37M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 11.5%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 28%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.78
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.33
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +7.3% | +8.6% | +7.2% | -5.8% | |
| Gross profit | +11.1% | +10.2% | +7.4% | +4.6% | |
| Operating income | +11.1% | +6.7% | +5.0% | +3.4% | |
| Net income | +60.8% | +7.8% | +7.1% | +5.1% | |
| EPS, diluted | +60.6% | +7.7% | +7.1% | +5.1% | |
| Free cash flow | -1.0% | +3.1% | +3.0% | +4.4% | |
| Dividend per share | +6.4% | +3.8% | +3.5% | +3.4% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -53.7% | -66.7% | -104.4% | |
| Return on assets | 19.7% | 18.4% | 17.3% | |
| Current ratio | 1.07 | 1.10 | 0.96 | |
| Debt to equity | -2.29 | -2.51 | -4.89 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.12× | 1.92× | 2.60× | |
| Interest coverage | 10.2× | 16.0× | 9.4× | |
| Inventory turnover | 1.1× | 1.0× | 1.3× | |
| Capex to revenue | 4.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | |
| Diluted shares | 1.55B | 1.56B | 1.56B |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Philip Morris International generated $56.42B from operations and spent $47.32B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 13% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 27.9% | 0.62× | -6.02× | -104.4% |
| FY2024 | 18.6% | 0.60× | -5.53× | -61.4% |
| FY2023 | 22.2% | 0.55× | -6.29× | -77.4% |
| FY2022 | 28.5% | 0.62× | -5.40× | -94.9% |
| FY2021 | 29.0% | 0.73× | -3.80× | -80.4% |
| FY2020 | 28.1% | 0.65× | -3.63× | -66.7% |
| FY2019 | 24.1% | 0.72× | -3.44× | -59.8% |
| FY2018 | 26.7% | 0.72× | -3.37× | -64.5% |
| FY2017 | 21.0% | 0.72× | -3.22× | -48.7% |
| FY2016 | 26.1% | 0.75× | -2.73× | -53.7% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$11.35B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$12.23B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year10.8% → 18.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$12.23B vs $11.35B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell68.2% → 65.2%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.88 → 0.96
- No dilutionShare count did not rise1.56B → 1.56B
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year64.81% → 67.12%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.58 → 0.66
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