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Fastenal Co (FAST) stock analysis

FASTNasdaqRetail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden SupplyFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 19, 2026Score 16/3092% above fair value
$55.49+0.65 (+1.19%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $63.66BP/E 44.8Yield 1.58%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth2Performance6Health6Dividend2

Solid16 of 30 checks passed

Fastenal passes 16 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
6/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 35.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 33.8% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 36.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Low debt

    Debt is 2.4% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 7.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 92.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $55.49 is above our fair value estimate of $28.89.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 4.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Fastenal's P/E of 44.8 is above its own 5-year median of 35.8.

  • P/E above the industry

    Fastenal's P/E of 44.8 is above the Consumer discretionary median of 19.6.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Fastenal's EV/EBITDA of 34.1 is above its 5-year median of 27.0.

  • P/B above the industry

    Fastenal's price-to-book of 15.34 is above the Consumer discretionary median of 4.67.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $55.49 is above our fair value estimate of $28.89.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 92.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.5% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 4.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 15.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.9% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 13.5% over the last twelve months; the Consumer discretionary median is 2.5%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Fastenal lowered its 2026 weighted FASTBin and FASTVend device signings outlook on Jul 14, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 44.6% over the last twelve months, against 45.1% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 35.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 33.8% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 36.1%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Fastenal's return on equity of 35.3% is above the Consumer discretionary median of 9.9%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 7.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 15.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 15.5%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Fastenal's net margin of 15.6% is above the Consumer discretionary median of 6.2%.

Financial health6/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 2.4% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 14.8% five years ago to 2.4%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 1434% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 503.9 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 3.93 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 32.85; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Fastenal paid dividends worth 1.8% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.8% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Fastenal yields 1.8%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 77.7% of net income.

  • Not covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 93.6% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$28.89

The share price is 92% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$55.49Price$28.89Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E27.8×35.8×19.6×$34.4344%
EV/EBITDA18.5×27.0×9.8×$30.1639%
Earnings power8.8% cost of equity––$11.1417%
Fair value$28.89100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 35.8
  • Consumer discretionary median 19.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$413.74M
Value traded per 1% price move
$325.14M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
6.6%
Volatility (annualized)
24%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.22
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.78

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

45.0%−0.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

20.2%−0.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

15.3%+0.1 pts over 5 years

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