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Sherwin Williams Co (SHW) stock analysis

SHWNYSERetail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden SupplyFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 27, 2026Score 14/3049% above fair value
$351.39−4.37 (-1.23%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $84.89BP/E 32.3Yield 0.90%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth2Performance5Health2Dividend4

Mixed14 of 30 checks passed

Sherwin Williams passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
2/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 63.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 66.6% over five years.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 4.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 31.2% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.18; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 49.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $355.76 is above our fair value estimate of $238.84.

  • High debt

    Debt is 297% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Sherwin Williams's P/E of 32.7 is below its own 5-year median of 33.2.

  • P/E above the industry

    Sherwin Williams's P/E of 32.7 is above the Consumer discretionary median of 19.6.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Sherwin Williams's price-to-book of 21.61 is above the Consumer discretionary median of 4.67.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $355.76 is above our fair value estimate of $238.84.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 49.0% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth2/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 2.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 9.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 4.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.8% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 7.0% over the last twelve months; the Consumer discretionary median is 2.5%.

  • Guidance raised

    Sherwin Williams raised its Full Year 2026 Diluted net income per share outlook on Jul 28, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 48.6% over the last twelve months, against 48.9% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 63.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 66.6% over five years.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Sherwin Williams's return on equity of 63.7% is above the Consumer discretionary median of 9.9%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 4.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 10.7% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 10.3%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Sherwin Williams's net margin of 10.7% is above the Consumer discretionary median of 6.2%.

Financial health2/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 297% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 230% five years ago to 297%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 31.2% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 0.71 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.18; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Sherwin Williams paid dividends worth 0.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 0.9% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Sherwin Williams yields 0.9%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 29.3% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 25.5% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$238.84

The share price is 49% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$355.76Price$238.84Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E26.5×33.2×19.6×$287.8573%
Earnings power9.4% cost of equity––$108.1427%
Fair value$238.84100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 33.2
  • Consumer discretionary median 19.6

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$626.04M
Value traded per 1% price move
$426.72M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
13.7%
Volatility (annualized)
30%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.02
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.90

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

48.8%+1.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

–

Net margin

10.9%−0.2 pts over 5 years

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