Texas Capital Bancshares Inc (TCBI.PB) stock analysis
Close on Oct 19, 2026Market cap $4.48BP/E 13.2Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 6, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Texas Capital Bancshares passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 1/6
What stands out
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 37.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
P/E below its 5-year median
Texas Capital Bancshares's P/E of 13.2 is below its own 5-year median of 15.1.
Well capitalized
Equity is 10.8% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.
Loans funded by deposits
Loans equal 85.9% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 4.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $103.09 is above our fair value estimate of $99.03.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 10.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 0.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation2/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Texas Capital Bancshares's P/E of 13.2 is below its own 5-year median of 15.1.
P/E above the industry
Texas Capital Bancshares's P/E of 13.2 is above the Commercial Banks median of 12.0.
P/S below the industry
Texas Capital Bancshares's price-to-sales of 3.34 is below the Commercial Banks median of 3.57.
P/B above the industry
Texas Capital Bancshares's price-to-book of 1.29 is above the Commercial Banks median of 1.27.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $103.09 is above our fair value estimate of $99.03.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 4.1% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 0.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 3.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 20.8% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 37.9% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 10.9% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.2%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 10.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 7.4% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on assets over 1%
Return on assets was 1.1%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.
Return on equity below the industry
Texas Capital Bancshares's return on equity of 10.2% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.5%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 37.9% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 27.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 21.5%.
Net margin below the industry
Texas Capital Bancshares's net margin of 27.0% is below the Commercial Banks median of 30.2%.
Financial health4/6
Well capitalized
Equity is 10.8% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.
Loans funded by deposits
Loans equal 85.9% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.
Adequate loan-loss reserve
The allowance for credit losses is 1.1% of loans; we look for at least 1%.
High cost base
Non-interest expense takes 60.1% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.
Deposits growing
Deposits grew 0.8% over the past year.
Borrowings
Needs debt and equity figures.
Dividend1/6
Pays a dividend
Texas Capital Bancshares paid dividends worth 0.4% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 0.4% yield is below the 4.3% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Texas Capital Bancshares yields 0.4%.
Dividend stability
Fewer than five years of dividend history.
Earnings cover
Needs dividends paid and net income.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$99.03
The share price is 4% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 13.6× | 15.1× | 12.0× | $105.57 | 50% |
| P/B | 1.2× | 1.0× | 1.3× | $92.49 | 50% |
| Fair value | $99.03 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 15.1
- Commercial Banks median 12.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $57.08M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $48.14M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 11.7%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 26%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.73
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.79
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +34.7% | +0.8% | +3.6% | +7.6% | |
| Net income | +326.1% | -0.2% | +37.9% | +8.6% | |
| EPS, diluted | +430.5% | +3.2% | +43.4% | +8.8% | |
| Free cash flow | -16.3% | +36.5% | -33.3% | +18.5% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 8.6% | 2.3% | 9.4% | |
| Return on assets | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| Diluted shares | 47M | 51M | 46M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Texas Capital Bancshares generated $2.02B from operations and spent $596.87M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 18% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 26.3% | 0.04× | 8.90× | 9.4% |
| FY2024 | 8.3% | 0.03× | 9.00× | 2.4% |
| FY2023 | 17.6% | 0.04× | 9.08× | 6.0% |
| FY2022 | 27.1% | 0.04× | 10.08× | 10.6% |
| FY2021 | 28.0% | 0.03× | 11.92× | 8.4% |
| FY2020 | 6.3% | 0.03× | 12.39× | 2.3% |
| FY2019 | 29.1% | 0.04× | 11.51× | 11.8% |
| FY2018 | 29.5% | 0.04× | 11.42× | 12.6% |
| FY2017 | 23.5% | 0.04× | 11.17× | 9.4% |
| FY2016 | 22.1% | 0.03× | 11.21× | 8.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$330.24M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$360.15M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year0.3% → 1.1%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$360.15M vs $330.24M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise47M → 46M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.03 → 0.04
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