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Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM.PA) stock analysis

RITM.PANYSEReal Estate Investment TrustsFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as RITM, RITM.PB, RITM.PC, RITM.PD, RITM.PE, RITM.PF
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 4, 2026Score 13/3037% below fair value
$25.16+0.09 (+0.36%)

Close on Nov 2, 2026Market cap $5.28BP/E 15.8Yield 10.58%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth1Performance1Health4Dividend3

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Rithm Capital passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 11 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 37.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $9.31 is below our fair value estimate of $14.77.

  • No debt

    Rithm Capital has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

What to watch

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -16.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.16; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Rithm Capital's P/E of 15.5 is above its own 5-year median of 7.8.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Rithm Capital's P/E of 15.5 is above its own 5-year median of 7.8.

  • P/E below the industry

    Rithm Capital's P/E of 15.5 is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 25.0.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Rithm Capital's price-to-book of 0.61 is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 1.20.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $9.31 is below our fair value estimate of $14.77.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 37.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -16.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 6.2% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Investing median is 4.4%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Rithm Capital's return on equity of 5.7% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 3.4%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Rithm Capital's net margin of 9.2% is below the Miscellaneous Investing median of 11.4%.

Financial health4/6
  • No debt

    Rithm Capital has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.

  • Debt not rising

    With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    There is no debt to cover.

  • Interest well covered

    No meaningful interest expense to cover.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.16; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Rithm Capital paid dividends worth 10.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 10.7% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Rithm Capital yields 10.7%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Earnings cover

    Needs dividends paid and net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$14.77

The share price is 37% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$9.31Price$14.77Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E16.4×7.8×25.0×$9.8247%
EV/EBITDA10.5×–10.5×$20.5041%
P/B1.0×0.7×1.2×$14.5512%
Fair value$14.77100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 7.8
  • Miscellaneous Investing median 25.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$65.00M
Value traded per 1% price move
$41.76M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.5%
Volatility (annualized)
26%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.73
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.96

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

15.2%