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Great Elm Group, Inc. (GEGGL) stock analysis

GEGGLNasdaqServices-Prepackaged SoftwareFiscal year ends June 30Also trades as GEG
Financials through Q4 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-K on Aug 26, 2026Score 6/3023% below fair value
$24.85+0.00 (0.00%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $66.85MP/E –Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth2Performance0Health1Dividend0

Weak6 of 30 checks passed

Great Elm passes 6 of the 30 checks behind our score; 20 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
2/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 23.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $2.15 is below our fair value estimate of $2.79.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 47.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • P/B below the industry

    Great Elm's price-to-book of 1.64 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.29.

What to watch

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -81.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -3.4 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is -38.98; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

  • No dividend

    Great Elm has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

Valuation3/6

  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E against the industry

    Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B below the industry

    Great Elm's price-to-book of 1.64 is below the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median of 3.29.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $2.15 is below our fair value estimate of $2.79.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 23.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth2/6

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 47.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 70.2% over the last twelve months; the Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median is 10.8%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance0/6

  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was -81.8%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin against the industry

    Needs revenue and net income.

Financial health1/6

  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense -3.4 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 12.89 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is -38.98; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6

  • No dividend

    Great Elm has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Fair value

How we estimate it

Our estimate per share

$2.79

The share price is 23% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$2.15Price$2.79Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/B2.1×1.0×3.3×$2.8250%
P/S3.1×3.3×2.9×$2.7750%
Fair value$2.79100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Computer Programming, Data Processing, and Other Computer Related Services median 26.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

High risk

Average value traded per day
$18.10K
Value traded per 1% price move
$11.20K

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
17.8%
Volatility (annualized)
42%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.42
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.18

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2020 to 2026

Gross margin

52.3%

Operating margin

-50.4%−44.3 pts over 5 years

Net margin

–