StockData
First Merchants Corp logo

First Merchants Corp (FRMEP) stock analysis

FRMEPNasdaqNational Commercial BanksFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as FRME
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 30, 2026Score 11/303% below fair value
$25.17+0.00 (0.00%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $1.58BP/E 7.8Yield 5.68%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value3Growth0Performance1Health4Dividend3

Mixed11 of 30 checks passed

First Merchants passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 4 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
3/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
1/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $40.59 is below our fair value estimate of $41.94.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 8.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 45.6% of net income.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 3.2% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 7.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 0.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation3/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    First Merchants's P/E of 12.6 is above its own 5-year median of 10.6.

  • P/E above the industry

    First Merchants's P/E of 12.6 is above the Commercial Banks median of 12.3.

  • P/S below the industry

    First Merchants's price-to-sales of 3.52 is below the Commercial Banks median of 3.64.

  • P/B below the industry

    First Merchants's price-to-book of 0.97 is below the Commercial Banks median of 1.27.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $40.59 is below our fair value estimate of $41.94.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 3.2% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.8% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 0.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -15.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.7% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 8.5% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.4%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance1/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 7.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets under 1%

    Return on assets was 1.0%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    First Merchants's return on equity of 7.8% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.2%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 8.7% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 27.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 34.9%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    First Merchants's net margin of 27.3% is below the Commercial Banks median of 30.0%.

Financial health4/6
  • Well capitalized

    Equity is 12.5% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Loans equal 90.9% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.

  • Adequate loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is 1.4% of loans; we look for at least 1%.

  • High cost base

    Non-interest expense takes 63.0% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.

  • Deposits growing

    Deposits grew 13.8% over the past year.

  • Borrowings

    Needs debt and equity figures.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    First Merchants paid dividends worth 3.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; First Merchants yields 3.6%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 45.6% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$41.94

The share price is 3% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$40.59Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E11.4×10.6×12.3×$36.9250%
P/B1.1×1.0×1.3×$46.9750%
Fair value$41.94100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 10.6
  • Commercial Banks median 12.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$18.82M
Value traded per 1% price move
$20.15M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.6%
Volatility (annualized)
22%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.43
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.69

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

34.1%+3.9 pts over 5 years