Saul Centers, Inc. (BFS.PE) stock analysis
Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $462.21MP/E 19.3Yield 12.62%
StockData Score
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works
Mixed10 of 30 checks passed
Saul Centers passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 0/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 50.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $29.09 is below our fair value estimate of $59.07.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 52.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
What to watch
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 11.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 1.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 5.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -12.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation2/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Saul Centers's P/E of 30.0 is above its own 5-year median of 23.6.
P/E above the industry
Saul Centers's P/E of 30.0 is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 25.0.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
Saul Centers's price-to-book of 2.43 is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 1.20.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $29.09 is below our fair value estimate of $59.07.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 50.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 5.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -12.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -19.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -1.5% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 8.7% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Investing median is 4.4%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin trend
This company does not report gross profit.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 11.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 52.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Saul Centers's return on equity of 11.3% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 3.4%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 1.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 11.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.6%.
Net margin above the industry
Saul Centers's net margin of 11.5% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 11.4%.
Financial health0/6
Debt level
Needs debt and equity figures.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt coverage
Needs operating cash flow.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 2.6 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term liquidity
The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 0.47; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Saul Centers paid dividends worth 8.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 8.1% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Saul Centers yields 8.1%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Not covered by earnings
Dividends take 165% of net income, leaving little room.
Cash-flow cover
Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$59.07
The share price is 51% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 24.3× | 23.6× | 25.0× | $23.60 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.5× | – | 10.5× | $112.91 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.9× | 2.5× | 1.2× | $22.44 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 8.7% cost of equity | – | – | $52.43 | 15% |
| Fair value | $59.07 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 23.6
- Miscellaneous Investing median 25.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $4.13M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $4.19M
Downside
Low risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 11.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 20%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.34
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.75
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +7.8% | +5.6% | +5.2% | +3.3% | |
| Operating income | -4.1% | +2.7% | – | +13.9% | |
| Net income | -25.9% | -9.3% | -1.5% | -1.2% | |
| EPS, diluted | -33.1% | -12.6% | -2.7% | -2.6% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | +0.6% | +2.2% | +3.4% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 14.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | |
| Return on assets | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | |
| Interest coverage | 1.2× | – | 2.8× | |
| Capex to revenue | 42.0% | 24.9% | – | |
| Diluted shares | 22M | 23M | 24M |
Cash use needs five years of cash flow figures
Saul Centers does not report operating cash flow and capital expenditure for each of the last five fiscal years.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 12.9% | 0.14× | 6.66× | 11.7% |
| FY2024 | 18.8% | 0.13× | 6.02× | 14.8% |
| FY2023 | 20.5% | 0.13× | 5.11× | 14.1% |
| FY2022 | 20.4% | 0.14× | 4.44× | 12.5% |
| FY2021 | 20.2% | 0.14× | 4.41× | 12.6% |
| FY2020 | 17.9% | 0.14× | 4.41× | 10.9% |
| FY2019 | 22.3% | 0.15× | 4.30× | 14.2% |
| FY2018 | 22.2% | 0.15× | 4.27× | 14.6% |
| FY2017 | 21.3% | 0.16× | 4.24× | 14.8% |
| FY2016 | 20.9% | 0.16× | 4.24× | 14.6% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$37.51M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$99.80M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year2.5% → 1.8%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$99.80M vs $37.51M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise24M → 24M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year– → –
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.13 → 0.14