StockData

Saul Centers, Inc. (BFS.PD) stock analysis

BFS.PDNYSEReal Estate Investment TrustsFiscal year ends December 31Also trades as BFS, BFS.PE
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 6, 2026Score 10/3051% below fair value
$18.70+0.00 (0.00%)

Close on Oct 30, 2026Market cap $462.21MP/E 19.3Yield 12.62%

StockData Score

Prices as of Oct 30, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth1Performance3Health0Dividend4

Mixed10 of 30 checks passed

Saul Centers passes 10 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 50.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $29.09 is below our fair value estimate of $59.07.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 52.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 1.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -12.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Saul Centers's P/E of 30.0 is above its own 5-year median of 23.6.

  • P/E above the industry

    Saul Centers's P/E of 30.0 is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 25.0.

  • EV/EBITDA against its history

    Needs positive EBITDA and price history.

  • P/B above the industry

    Saul Centers's price-to-book of 2.43 is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 1.20.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $29.09 is below our fair value estimate of $59.07.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 50.8% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 5.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -12.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -19.1% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -1.5% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 8.7% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Investing median is 4.4%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 11.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 52.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Saul Centers's return on equity of 11.3% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 3.4%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 1.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 11.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 18.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Saul Centers's net margin of 11.5% is above the Miscellaneous Investing median of 11.4%.

Financial health0/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.6 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.47; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Saul Centers paid dividends worth 8.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 8.1% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 4.0% or more; Saul Centers yields 8.1%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 165% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$59.07

The share price is 51% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$29.09Price$59.07Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E24.3×23.6×25.0×$23.6040%
EV/EBITDA10.5×–10.5×$112.9135%
P/B1.9×2.5×1.2×$22.4410%
Earnings power8.7% cost of equity––$52.4315%
Fair value$59.07100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 23.6
  • Miscellaneous Investing median 25.0

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$4.13M
Value traded per 1% price move
$4.19M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
11.0%
Volatility (annualized)
20%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.34
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.75

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

67.4%

Net margin

12.9%−5.0 pts over 5 years