X Financial (XYF) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $429.95MP/E 1.0Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed11 of 30 checks passed
X Financial passes 11 of the 30 checks behind our score; 17 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 4/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 3/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 19.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 21.7% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 20.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 5.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 28.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 19.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 23.1%.
No dividend
X Financial has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B against the industry
Needs positive book value.
Price against fair value
We could not estimate a fair value: it needs at least two valuation methods with positive inputs.
Margin of safety
Depends on the fair value estimate.
Growth4/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 28.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 32.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 30.1% over the last twelve months; the Finance services median is 9.8%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (first quarter of 2026 total loan amount facilitated and originated, Mar 25, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 73.6% over the last twelve months, against 70.4% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 19.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 21.7% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 20.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
X Financial's return on equity of 19.8% is above the Finance services median of -33.5%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 19.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 23.1%.
Net margin above the industry
X Financial's net margin of 19.2% is above the Finance services median of -64.5%.
Financial health3/6
Low debt
Debt is 5.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 11.4% five years ago to 5.2%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 358% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term liquidity
The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z)
Needs market value, working capital and retained earnings.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
X Financial has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itWe don't publish a fair value for X Financial. It needs a US-dollar share price, at least two valuation methods with positive inputs (earnings, EBITDA, book value or sales) and, for companies with several share classes, classes that trade at the same price.
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
High risk
- Average value traded per day
- $352.75K
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $127.29K
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 37.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 62%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.96
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.67
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2015 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +30.1% | +28.9% | +28.4% | – | |
| Gross profit | +35.9% | +36.2% | +115.3% | – | |
| Operating income | -13.0% | +10.3% | – | – | |
| Net income | -4.9% | +21.7% | – | – | |
| EPS, diluted | +11.8% | +32.6% | – | – | |
| Free cash flow | -4.2% | +32.6% | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | -35.2% | 19.8% | |
| Return on assets | – | -16.6% | 11.1% | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 238M | 321M | 249M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
X Financial generated CN¥5.46B from operations and spent CN¥1.47B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 4% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 19.2% | 0.58× | 1.79× | 19.8% |
| FY2024 | 26.2% | 0.50× | 1.83× | 24.1% |
| FY2023 | 24.6% | 0.47× | 1.93× | 22.4% |
| FY2022 | 22.8% | 0.44× | 1.85× | 18.6% |
| FY2021 | 22.8% | 0.49× | 2.10× | 23.4% |
| FY2020 | -59.7% | 0.28× | 2.12× | -35.2% |
| FY2019 | 25.1% | 0.48× | 1.64× | 19.6% |
| FY2018 | 24.9% | 0.83× | 1.61× | 33.5% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zeroCN¥1.46B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zeroCN¥1.47B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year13.2% → 12.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net incomeCN¥1.47B vs CN¥1.46B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose– → –
- No dilutionShare count did not rise293M → 249M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year70.40% → 73.55%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.50 → 0.65
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