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Willis Lease Finance Corp (WLFC) stock analysis

WLFCNasdaqWholesale-Machinery, Equipment & SuppliesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 3, 2026Score 14/3044% below fair value
$46.35−0.12 (-0.26%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $980.03MP/E 11.6Yield 0.83%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth3Performance4Health0Dividend3

Mixed14 of 30 checks passed

Willis Lease Finance passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
0/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 44.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $46.47 is below our fair value estimate of $83.70.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 30.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 63.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 13.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -25.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 63.5% a year.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 0.9 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.77; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Willis Lease Finance's P/E of 11.6 is above its own 5-year median of 10.2.

  • P/E below the industry

    Willis Lease Finance's P/E of 11.6 is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 20.3.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Willis Lease Finance's EV/EBITDA of 4.1 is above its 5-year median of 2.4.

  • P/B below the industry

    Willis Lease Finance's price-to-book of 1.39 is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 2.15.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $46.47 is below our fair value estimate of $83.70.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 44.5% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 32.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 260% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -25.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 63.5% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 17.3% over the last twelve months; the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median is 7.5%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 13.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 10.7% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 30.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Willis Lease Finance's return on equity of 13.8% is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 17.2%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 63.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 12.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 9.6%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Willis Lease Finance's net margin of 12.0% is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 5.0%.

Financial health0/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt coverage

    Needs operating cash flow.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 0.9 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term liquidity

    The balance sheet is not split into current and non-current items.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 0.77; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Willis Lease Finance paid dividends worth 1.1% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.1% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Willis Lease Finance yields 1.1%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 12.1% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 4.4% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$83.70

The share price is 44% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$46.47Price$83.70Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E15.2×10.2×20.3×$60.8040%
EV/EBITDA8.8×2.4×15.3×$99.4535%
P/B1.5×0.9×2.1×$51.6510%
Earnings power9.1% cost of equity––$129.3715%
Fair value$83.70100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 10.2
  • Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median 20.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Medium risk

Average value traded per day
$10.55M
Value traded per 1% price move
$4.55M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
29.5%
Volatility (annualized)
51%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.20
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.84

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

14.3%+9.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

15.6%+12.2 pts over 5 years

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