Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. (DSGR) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $1.62BP/E 146.2Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak3 of 30 checks passed
Distribution Solutions passes 3 of the 30 checks behind our score; 8 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 19.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 0.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -0.2%.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.47 times current liabilities.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 56.4% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $35.08 is above our fair value estimate of $22.43.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 1.7% over the last twelve months and averaged -0.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 3.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation0/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Distribution Solutions's P/E of 146.2 is above its own 5-year median of 144.6.
P/E above the industry
Distribution Solutions's P/E of 146.2 is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 20.3.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Distribution Solutions's EV/EBITDA of 15.0 is above its 5-year median of 14.9.
P/B above the industry
Distribution Solutions's price-to-book of 2.44 is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 2.15.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $35.08 is above our fair value estimate of $22.43.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 56.4% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 19.8% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -5.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 6.6% over the last twelve months; the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median is 7.5%.
Company guidance
No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 32.5% over the last twelve months, against 33.6% a year earlier.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 1.7% over the last twelve months and averaged -0.5% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 3.2%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Distribution Solutions's return on equity of 1.7% is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 17.2%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 11.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 0.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -0.2%.
Net margin below the industry
Distribution Solutions's net margin of 0.5% is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 5.0%.
Financial health1/6
High debt
Debt is 114% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 4.9% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 1.4 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.47 times current liabilities.
Bankruptcy risk in the grey zone
The Altman Z-score is 2.37; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Distribution Solutions has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$22.43
The share price is 56% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 45.0× | 144.6× | 20.3× | $10.80 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 15.1× | 14.9× | 15.3× | $35.38 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.1× | 2.1× | 2.1× | $30.85 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 7.9% cost of equity | – | – | $17.60 | 15% |
| Fair value | $22.43 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 145
- Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median 20.3
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Medium risk
- Average value traded per day
- $9.27M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $82.47M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 25.8%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 55%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.51
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.60
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +9.8% | +19.8% | +41.3% | +21.8% | |
| Gross profit | +7.9% | +19.2% | +28.8% | +14.6% | |
| Operating income | +39.9% | +23.3% | +30.7% | +43.5% | |
| Net income | – | +4.1% | -11.2% | +39.6% | |
| EPS, diluted | – | -5.0% | -26.0% | +28.2% | |
| Free cash flow | +46.9% | – | +15.3% | +24.2% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | -2.7% | 11.5% | 1.3% | |
| Return on assets | -1.2% | 6.6% | 0.5% | |
| Current ratio | 2.23 | 1.46 | 2.56 | |
| Debt to equity | – | – | 1.08 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | – | 4.01× | |
| Interest coverage | -2.9× | 31.4× | 1.4× | |
| Inventory turnover | 2.5× | 2.8× | 3.8× | |
| Capex to revenue | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| Diluted shares | 18M | 19M | 47M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Distribution Solutions generated $263.94M from operations and spent $93.26M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 66% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 0.4% | 1.14× | 2.69× | 1.3% |
| FY2024 | -0.4% | 1.10× | 2.52× | -1.1% |
| FY2023 | -0.6% | 1.14× | 2.26× | -1.5% |
| FY2022 | 0.6% | 1.35× | 2.34× | 2.0% |
| FY2021 | -1.0% | 1.39× | 2.33× | -3.1% |
| FY2020 | 4.3% | 1.53× | 1.75× | 11.5% |
| FY2019 | 1.9% | 1.85× | 1.94× | 7.0% |
| FY2018 | 1.8% | 1.80× | 2.02× | 6.5% |
| FY2017 | 9.7% | 1.87× | 2.11× | 38.4% |
| FY2016 | -0.6% | 2.06× | 2.19× | -2.7% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$8.35M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$83.85M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-0.5% → 0.5%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$83.85M vs $8.35M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell40.2% → 38.0%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.67 → 2.56
- No dilutionShare count did not rise47M → 47M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year34.02% → 33.44%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.16 → 1.15
See a number that looks wrong?