Winnebago Industries Inc (WGO) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $882.91MP/E 25.7Yield 4.54%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed13 of 30 checks passed
Winnebago Industries passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 0/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 5/6
What stands out
Low debt
Debt is 35.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 34.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -34.3% a year.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 38.1% of total debt.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.39; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 5.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $31.53 is above our fair value estimate of $29.81.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 2.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 3.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Valuation2/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Winnebago Industries's P/E of 26.1 is above its own 5-year median of 10.5.
P/E above the industry
Winnebago Industries's P/E of 26.1 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 18.7.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Winnebago Industries's EV/EBITDA of 9.2 is below its 5-year median of 9.5.
P/B below the industry
Winnebago Industries's price-to-book of 0.73 is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.56.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $31.53 is above our fair value estimate of $29.81.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 5.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -8.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -42.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 34.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -34.3% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -3.4% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.
Guidance lowered
Winnebago Industries lowered its Fiscal 2026 Consolidated net revenues outlook on Jun 25, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 13.0% over the last twelve months, against 13.0% a year earlier.
Past performance0/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 2.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 3.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
Winnebago Industries's return on equity of 2.8% is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 3.5%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 34.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 1.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.3%.
Net margin below the industry
Winnebago Industries's net margin of 1.3% is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.9%.
Financial health5/6
Low debt
Debt is 35.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 50.0% five years ago to 35.8%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 38.1% of total debt.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 3.2 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.17 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.39; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend5/6
Pays a dividend
Winnebago Industries paid dividends worth 4.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 4.5% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Winnebago Industries yields 4.5%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.
Not covered by earnings
Dividends take 116% of net income, leaving little room.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 27.6% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$29.81
The share price is 6% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 14.6× | 10.5× | 18.7× | $17.63 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.0× | 9.5× | 8.5× | $30.80 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.5× | 1.4× | 1.6× | $65.36 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 10.8% cost of equity | – | – | $36.26 | 15% |
| Fair value | $29.81 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 10.5
- Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median 18.7
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $23.48M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $7.75M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 28.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 47%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.33
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.18
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2026
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -3.4% | -8.2% | -5.7% | +10.7% | |
| Gross profit | -4.1% | -15.8% | -11.6% | +12.0% | |
| Operating income | +15.7% | -39.6% | -30.5% | +0.1% | |
| Net income | +34.2% | -45.7% | -34.3% | -2.7% | |
| EPS, diluted | +33.0% | -42.1% | -31.9% | -3.2% | |
| Free cash flow | +61.6% | -11.9% | -5.6% | +17.8% | |
| Dividend per share | +2.9% | +8.0% | +16.4% | +13.4% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2017 | FY2021 | FY2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 20.1% | 29.9% | 2.8% | |
| Return on assets | 11.0% | 14.9% | 1.6% | |
| Current ratio | 1.88 | 2.60 | 2.17 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.62 | 0.50 | 0.36 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | – | 2.08× | |
| Interest coverage | 7.4× | 10.1× | 3.2× | |
| Inventory turnover | 10.0× | 11.4× | 5.9× | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | |
| Diluted shares | 31M | 34M | 28M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2022 to 2026, five years combined
Winnebago Industries generated $1.14B from operations and spent $851.60M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 33% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 1.3% | 1.27× | 1.73× | 2.8% |
| FY2025 | 0.9% | 1.23× | 1.82× | 2.1% |
| FY2024 | 0.4% | 1.23× | 1.82× | 1.0% |
| FY2023 | 6.2% | 1.44× | 1.84× | 16.4% |
| FY2022 | 7.9% | 2.21× | 1.93× | 33.7% |
| FY2021 | 7.8% | 1.92× | 2.00× | 29.9% |
| FY2020 | 2.6% | 1.67× | 1.93× | 8.4% |
| FY2019 | 5.6% | 1.84× | 1.85× | 19.2% |
| FY2018 | 5.1% | 2.06× | 2.00× | 21.0% |
| FY2017 | 4.6% | 2.39× | 1.82× | 20.1% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2026 against fiscal 2025
- ProfitableNet income above zero$34.50M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$168.70M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year1.1% → 1.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$168.70M vs $34.50M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell25.1% → 21.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.42 → 2.17
- No dilutionShare count did not rise28M → 28M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year13.05% → 12.95%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.17 → 1.26
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