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Winnebago Industries Inc (WGO) stock analysis

WGONYSEMotor HomesFiscal year ends August 30
Financials through Q4 FY2026, quarter ended Aug 29, 2026Last filing: 10-K on Oct 21, 2026Score 13/306% above fair value
$31.04−0.49 (-1.55%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $882.91MP/E 25.7Yield 4.54%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth1Performance0Health5Dividend5

Mixed13 of 30 checks passed

Winnebago Industries passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
0/6
Financial health
5/6
Dividend
5/6

What stands out

  • Low debt

    Debt is 35.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 34.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -34.3% a year.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 38.1% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.39; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 5.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $31.53 is above our fair value estimate of $29.81.

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 2.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 3.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Winnebago Industries's P/E of 26.1 is above its own 5-year median of 10.5.

  • P/E above the industry

    Winnebago Industries's P/E of 26.1 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 18.7.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Winnebago Industries's EV/EBITDA of 9.2 is below its 5-year median of 9.5.

  • P/B below the industry

    Winnebago Industries's price-to-book of 0.73 is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.56.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $31.53 is above our fair value estimate of $29.81.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 5.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -8.2% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -42.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 34.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -34.3% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -3.4% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Winnebago Industries lowered its Fiscal 2026 Consolidated net revenues outlook on Jun 25, 2026.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 13.0% over the last twelve months, against 13.0% a year earlier.

Past performance0/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 2.8% over the last twelve months and averaged 11.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 3.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    Winnebago Industries's return on equity of 2.8% is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 3.5%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 34.3% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 1.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 3.3%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Winnebago Industries's net margin of 1.3% is below the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.9%.

Financial health5/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 35.8% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 50.0% five years ago to 35.8%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 38.1% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 3.2 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.17 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.39; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend5/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Winnebago Industries paid dividends worth 4.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 4.5% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Winnebago Industries yields 4.5%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 116% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 27.6% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$29.81

The share price is 6% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$31.53Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E14.6×10.5×18.7×$17.6340%
EV/EBITDA9.0×9.5×8.5×$30.8035%
P/B1.5×1.4×1.6×$65.3610%
Earnings power10.8% cost of equity––$36.2615%
Fair value$29.81100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 10.5
  • Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median 18.7

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$23.48M
Value traded per 1% price move
$7.75M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
28.0%
Volatility (annualized)
47%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.33
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.18

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

13.0%−5.0 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

2.4%−8.8 pts over 5 years

Net margin

1.3%−6.5 pts over 5 years

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