Dorman Products, Inc. (DORM) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $3.90BP/E 19.7Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Mixed13 of 30 checks passed
Dorman Products passes 13 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 2/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 5/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 11.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 28.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 13.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 19.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 18.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $132.31 is above our fair value estimate of $111.29.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 13.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Valuation2/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Dorman Products's P/E of 19.7 is below its own 5-year median of 21.4.
P/E above the industry
Dorman Products's P/E of 19.7 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 17.4.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Dorman Products's EV/EBITDA of 12.1 is below its 5-year median of 12.5.
P/B above the industry
Dorman Products's price-to-book of 2.49 is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.57.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $132.31 is above our fair value estimate of $111.29.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 18.9% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 7.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 19.9% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -18.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 13.8% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 2.2% over the last twelve months; the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median is 5.5%.
Guidance lowered
Dorman Products lowered its full-year 2026 Net Sales Growth vs. 2025 outlook on Aug 3, 2026.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 41.1% over the last twelve months, against 41.9% a year earlier.
Past performance5/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was 13.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 13.8% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 11.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Dorman Products's return on equity of 13.3% is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 3.5%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 13.8% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 9.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.5%.
Net margin above the industry
Dorman Products's net margin of 9.3% is above the Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median of 1.9%.
Financial health5/6
Low debt
Debt is 28.2% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt trend
Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 68.7% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 10.8 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 3.65 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 4.91; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Dorman Products has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$111.29
The share price is 19% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.4× | 21.4× | 17.4× | $130.44 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.4× | 12.5× | 8.2× | $111.85 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.1× | 2.7× | 1.6× | $113.51 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 8.5% cost of equity | – | – | $57.46 | 15% |
| Fair value | $111.29 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 21.4
- Motor Vehicles and Motor Vehicle Equipment median 17.4
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $33.93M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $23.09M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 20.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 35%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.25
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.68
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +6.0% | +7.1% | +14.3% | +10.2% | |
| Gross profit | +11.3% | +16.7% | +18.6% | +11.3% | |
| Operating income | +2.3% | +20.5% | +17.6% | +7.4% | |
| Net income | +7.5% | +18.9% | +13.8% | +8.3% | |
| EPS, diluted | +8.1% | +19.9% | +15.0% | +9.8% | |
| Free cash flow | -60.5% | +170.9% | -11.1% | +0.7% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 18.9% | 13.1% | 14.7% | |
| Return on assets | 15.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | |
| Current ratio | 5.31 | 2.86 | 3.09 | |
| Debt to equity | – | – | 0.30 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | – | 1.10× | |
| Interest coverage | 699.6× | 222.7× | 10.5× | |
| Inventory turnover | 2.9× | 2.4× | 1.5× | |
| Capex to revenue | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | |
| Diluted shares | 35M | 32M | 31M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Dorman Products generated $695.47M from operations and spent $179.08M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 100% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 9.6% | 0.87× | 1.77× | 14.7% |
| FY2024 | 9.5% | 0.85× | 1.92× | 15.4% |
| FY2023 | 6.7% | 0.83× | 2.10× | 11.7% |
| FY2022 | 7.0% | 0.86× | 2.03× | 12.3% |
| FY2021 | 9.8% | 0.93× | 1.62× | 14.7% |
| FY2020 | 9.8% | 0.97× | 1.39× | 13.1% |
| FY2019 | 8.4% | 0.98× | 1.35× | 11.2% |
| FY2018 | 13.7% | 1.12× | 1.28× | 19.6% |
| FY2017 | 11.8% | 1.22× | 1.20× | 17.2% |
| FY2016 | 12.3% | 1.29× | 1.19× | 18.9% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$204.19M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$113.63M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year8.3% → 8.4%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$113.63M vs $204.19M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell18.1% → 16.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.43 → 3.09
- No dilutionShare count did not rise31M → 31M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year40.13% → 42.14%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.88 → 0.88
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