Wendy's Co (WEN) stock analysis
Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $1.56BP/E 16.0Yield 8.19%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Mixed14 of 30 checks passed
Wendy's passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 0/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 1/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 39.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $8.34 is below our fair value estimate of $13.70.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 82.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 57.7% over five years.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 7.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
What to watch
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 7.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
High debt
Debt is 2204% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 1.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 1.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
Wendy's's P/E of 16.4 is below its own 5-year median of 19.0.
P/E below the industry
Wendy's's P/E of 16.4 is below the Eating and Drinking Places median of 28.5.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
Wendy's's EV/EBITDA of 9.4 is below its 5-year median of 11.7.
P/B above the industry
Wendy's's price-to-book of 12.78 is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 3.13.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $8.34 is below our fair value estimate of $13.70.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 39.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth0/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 1.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew 1.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew -47.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.0% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew -0.3% over the last twelve months; the Eating and Drinking Places median is 5.9%.
Guidance unchanged
The latest outlook (2026 Free cash flow, May 8, 2026) was maintained, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin slipping
Gross margin was 62.8% over the last twelve months, against 64.5% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 82.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 57.7% over five years.
Return on capital under 10%
Return on invested capital was 7.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Wendy's's return on equity of 82.9% is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 7.9%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 7.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin below its 5-year average
Net margin was 4.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.9%.
Net margin above the industry
Wendy's's net margin of 4.4% is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 1.9%.
Financial health1/6
High debt
Debt is 2204% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 409% five years ago to 2204%.
Debt not well covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 11.2% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.
Interest not well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 2.0 times; we look for at least 5.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.89 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.04; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
Wendy's paid dividends worth 5.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield above Treasuries
The 5.9% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield in the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Wendy's yields 5.9%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Not covered by earnings
Dividends take 96.3% of net income, leaving little room.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 42.1% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$13.70
The share price is 39% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 23.7× | 19.0× | 28.5× | $12.09 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.0× | 11.7× | 12.3× | $14.10 | 39% |
| Earnings power | 7.8% cost of equity | – | – | $17.05 | 17% |
| Fair value | $13.70 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 19.0
- Eating and Drinking Places median 28.5
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $49.07M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $21.42M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 24.0%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 63%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.11
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.59
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -3.1% | +1.3% | +4.7% | +1.5% | |
| Gross profit | -5.3% | +1.6% | +4.4% | +7.3% | |
| Operating income | -7.5% | -0.9% | +5.0% | +2.3% | |
| Net income | -15.1% | -2.4% | +7.0% | +0.2% | |
| EPS, diluted | -10.5% | +1.2% | +10.3% | +5.7% | |
| Free cash flow | -7.0% | +11.6% | +2.4% | +26.7% | |
| Dividend per share | -33.0% | +10.2% | +18.2% | +11.5% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 20.2% | 22.1% | 87.6% | |
| Return on assets | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | |
| Current ratio | 1.97 | 1.66 | 1.76 | |
| Debt to equity | 4.76 | 4.09 | 23.51 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 5.09× | 4.55× | 4.96× | |
| Interest coverage | 2.7× | 2.3× | 2.7× | |
| Inventory turnover | 210.0× | 142.6× | 113.8× | |
| Capex to revenue | 10.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 267M | 228M | 194M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Wendy's generated $1.65B from operations and spent $1.98B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 22% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 7.6% | 0.44× | 26.52× | 87.6% |
| FY2024 | 8.7% | 0.44× | 17.95× | 68.3% |
| FY2023 | 9.4% | 0.41× | 13.77× | 52.7% |
| FY2022 | 8.5% | 0.40× | 11.75× | 39.3% |
| FY2021 | 10.6% | 0.37× | 10.29× | 40.6% |
| FY2020 | 6.8% | 0.35× | 9.41× | 22.1% |
| FY2019 | 8.0% | 0.37× | 7.97× | 23.5% |
| FY2018 | 28.9% | 0.38× | 6.87× | 75.3% |
| FY2017 | 15.9% | 0.30× | 7.30× | 35.2% |
| FY2016 | 9.0% | 0.36× | 6.28× | 20.2% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$165.08M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$344.54M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year3.8% → 3.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$344.54M vs $165.08M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell52.9% → 55.1%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.85 → 1.76
- No dilutionShare count did not rise206M → 194M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year65.14% → 63.63%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.43 → 0.43
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