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Wendy's Co (WEN) stock analysis

WENNasdaqRetail-Eating & Drinking PlacesFiscal year ends January 3
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 27, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 14/3039% below fair value
$8.18−0.16 (-1.92%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $1.56BP/E 16.0Yield 8.19%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth0Performance4Health1Dividend4

Mixed14 of 30 checks passed

Wendy's passes 14 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
0/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
1/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 39.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $8.34 is below our fair value estimate of $13.70.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 82.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 57.7% over five years.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 7.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

What to watch

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 7.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • High debt

    Debt is 2204% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 1.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    Wendy's's P/E of 16.4 is below its own 5-year median of 19.0.

  • P/E below the industry

    Wendy's's P/E of 16.4 is below the Eating and Drinking Places median of 28.5.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    Wendy's's EV/EBITDA of 9.4 is below its 5-year median of 11.7.

  • P/B above the industry

    Wendy's's price-to-book of 12.78 is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 3.13.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $8.34 is below our fair value estimate of $13.70.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 39.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth0/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.3% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew 1.2% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew -47.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.0% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew -0.3% over the last twelve months; the Eating and Drinking Places median is 5.9%.

  • Guidance unchanged

    The latest outlook (2026 Free cash flow, May 8, 2026) was maintained, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin slipping

    Gross margin was 62.8% over the last twelve months, against 64.5% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 82.9% over the last twelve months and averaged 57.7% over five years.

  • Return on capital under 10%

    Return on invested capital was 7.3%, below the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Wendy's's return on equity of 82.9% is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 7.9%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 7.0% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 4.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 8.9%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Wendy's's net margin of 4.4% is above the Eating and Drinking Places median of 1.9%.

Financial health1/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 2204% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 409% five years ago to 2204%.

  • Debt not well covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 11.2% of total debt; we look for at least 20%.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 2.0 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.89 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.04; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Wendy's paid dividends worth 5.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield above Treasuries

    The 5.9% yield is above the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield in the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Wendy's yields 5.9%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Not covered by earnings

    Dividends take 96.3% of net income, leaving little room.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 42.1% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$13.70

The share price is 39% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$8.34Price$13.70Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E23.7×19.0×28.5×$12.0944%
EV/EBITDA12.0×11.7×12.3×$14.1039%
Earnings power7.8% cost of equity––$17.0517%
Fair value$13.70100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 19.0
  • Eating and Drinking Places median 28.5

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$49.07M
Value traded per 1% price move
$21.42M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
24.0%
Volatility (annualized)
63%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.11
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.59

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

63.6%−0.9 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

15.8%+0.2 pts over 5 years

Net margin

7.6%+0.8 pts over 5 years

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