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WaFd Inc (WAFD) stock analysis

WAFDNasdaqNational Commercial BanksFiscal year ends September 30Also trades as WAFDP
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Aug 4, 2026Score 15/3027% below fair value
$29.27−0.10 (-0.34%)

Close on Nov 12, 2026Market cap $2.17BP/E 9.2Yield 3.66%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth1Performance2Health4Dividend3

Solid15 of 30 checks passed

WaFd passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
2/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
3/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 27.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $29.37 is below our fair value estimate of $40.24.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 5.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 13.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.4% a year.

What to watch

  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 8.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -8.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    WaFd's P/E of 9.3 is below its own 5-year median of 11.4.

  • P/E below the industry

    WaFd's P/E of 9.3 is below the Commercial Banks median of 12.1.

  • P/S above the industry

    WaFd's price-to-sales of 68.70 is above the Commercial Banks median of 3.60.

  • P/B below the industry

    WaFd's price-to-book of 0.72 is below the Commercial Banks median of 1.29.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $29.37 is below our fair value estimate of $40.24.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 27.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 4.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -8.1% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 13.2% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 5.4% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 10.1% over the last twelve months; the Commercial Banks median is 11.3%.

  • Company guidance

    No outlook found in earnings releases from the last twelve months.

  • Gross margin trend

    Banks and insurers do not report gross profit.

Past performance2/6
  • Return on equity under 15%

    Return on equity was 8.5% over the last twelve months and averaged 9.1% over five years; we look for 15% on both.

  • Return on assets under 1%

    Return on assets was 0.9%; for a bank or insurer, 1% or more is considered good.

  • Return on equity below the industry

    WaFd's return on equity of 8.5% is below the Commercial Banks median of 11.5%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 5.4% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 811% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 827%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    WaFd's net margin of 811% is above the Commercial Banks median of 30.3%.

Financial health4/6
  • Well capitalized

    Equity is 11.0% of total assets; 8% or more is a comfortable cushion.

  • Loans funded by deposits

    Loans equal 95.6% of deposits, so lending is funded by customer deposits.

  • Adequate loan-loss reserve

    The allowance for credit losses is 1.1% of loans; we look for at least 1%.

  • Efficient operations

    Non-interest expense takes 55.3% of revenue; under 60% is efficient for a bank.

  • Deposits shrinking

    Deposits fell 2.1% over the past year.

  • Borrowings

    Needs debt and equity figures.

Dividend3/6
  • Pays a dividend

    WaFd paid dividends worth 3.7% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 3.7% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; WaFd yields 3.7%.

  • Dividend was cut

    The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 31.6% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 35.7% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$40.24

The share price is 27% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$29.37Price$40.24Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E11.7×11.4×12.1×$37.1350%
P/B1.1×0.8×1.3×$43.3550%
Fair value$40.24100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 11.4
  • Commercial Banks median 12.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$27.42M
Value traded per 1% price move
$25.87M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.8%
Volatility (annualized)
24%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.32
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.68

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Net margin

762.5%+30.4 pts over 5 years

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