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Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSXY) stock analysis

VSXYNYSERetail-Women's Clothing StoresFiscal year ends January 30
Financials through Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Aug 1, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Sep 4, 2026Score 12/3095% above fair value
$106.17+1.54 (+1.47%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $8.47BP/E 24.8Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth3Performance5Health4Dividend0

Mixed12 of 30 checks passed

Victoria's Secret passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 7 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
5/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 45.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 60.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 28.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 8.4 times.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 77.7% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 95.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $106.17 is above our fair value estimate of $54.37.

  • High debt

    Debt is 98.5% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Victoria's Secret's P/E of 24.8 is above its own 5-year median of 11.9.

  • P/E above the industry

    Victoria's Secret's P/E of 24.8 is above the Apparel and Accessory Stores median of 19.1.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Victoria's Secret's EV/EBITDA of 11.8 is above its 5-year median of 5.6.

  • P/B above the industry

    Victoria's Secret's price-to-book of 8.55 is above the Apparel and Accessory Stores median of 1.97.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $106.17 is above our fair value estimate of $54.37.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 95.3% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 1.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -22.5% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 10.3% over the last twelve months; the Apparel and Accessory Stores median is 4.7%.

  • Guidance raised

    Victoria's Secret raised its fiscal year 2026 net sales outlook on Sep 3, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 39.6% over the last twelve months, against 36.3% a year earlier.

Past performance5/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 45.3% over the last twelve months and averaged 60.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 28.7%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Victoria's Secret's return on equity of 45.3% is above the Apparel and Accessory Stores median of 16.8%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 5.5% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.4%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Victoria's Secret's net margin of 5.5% is above the Apparel and Accessory Stores median of 2.3%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 98.5% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 10.9% five years ago to 98.5%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 77.7% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 8.4 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.36 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.22; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Victoria's Secret has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$54.37

The share price is 95% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$106.17Price$54.37Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E15.5×11.9×19.1×$66.2144%
EV/EBITDA6.3×5.6×7.1×$54.5539%
Earnings power12.9% cost of equity––$22.3917%
Fair value$54.37100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 11.9
  • Apparel and Accessory Stores median 19.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$145.80M
Value traded per 1% price move
$55.14M

Downside

High risk

Typical loss in a bad month
27.7%
Volatility (annualized)
75%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
2.59
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.56

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2018 to 2025

Gross margin

36.4%+7.4 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

4.1%+6.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

2.5%+3.8 pts over 5 years

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