American Eagle Outfitters Inc (AEO) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $3.61BP/E 11.0Yield 2.32%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Solid19 of 30 checks passed
American Eagle Outfitters passes 19 of the 30 checks behind our score; 3 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 3/6
- Financial health
- 5/6
- Dividend
- 3/6
What stands out
Trading below fair value
The share price of $21.55 is below our fair value estimate of $24.97.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 20.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.4% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 20.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Low debt
Debt is 3.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 13.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 3.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
Guidance lowered
American Eagle Outfitters lowered its Fiscal Year 2026 Depreciation and Amortization outlook on Sep 9, 2026.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
American Eagle Outfitters's P/E of 11.0 is below its own 5-year median of 15.8.
P/E below the industry
American Eagle Outfitters's P/E of 11.0 is below the Family Clothing Stores median of 12.0.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
American Eagle Outfitters's EV/EBITDA of 5.3 is below its 5-year median of 5.7.
P/B below the industry
American Eagle Outfitters's price-to-book of 2.05 is below the Family Clothing Stores median of 2.58.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $21.55 is below our fair value estimate of $24.97.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 13.7% below fair value, less than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew 3.6% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing 10%+ a year
Diluted EPS grew 19.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 9.2% over the last twelve months; the Family Clothing Stores median is 5.5%.
Guidance lowered
American Eagle Outfitters lowered its Fiscal Year 2026 Depreciation and Amortization outlook on Sep 9, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 40.5% over the last twelve months, against 37.0% a year earlier.
Past performance3/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 20.4% over the last twelve months and averaged 16.4% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 20.5%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity below the industry
American Eagle Outfitters's return on equity of 20.4% is below the Family Clothing Stores median of 40.5%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 5.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 4.8%.
Net margin below the industry
American Eagle Outfitters's net margin of 5.9% is below the Family Clothing Stores median of 9.3%.
Financial health5/6
Low debt
Debt is 3.1% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 29.9% five years ago to 3.1%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 1090% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.59 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.57; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend3/6
Pays a dividend
American Eagle Outfitters paid dividends worth 2.3% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 2.3% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; American Eagle Outfitters yields 2.3%.
Dividend was cut
The dividend per share fell by more than 10% at least once in the last 10 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 25.0% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 24.5% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$24.97
The share price is 14% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 13.9× | 15.8× | 12.0× | $27.26 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.6× | 5.7× | 7.4× | $26.36 | 35% |
| P/B | 2.2× | 1.9× | 2.6× | $23.41 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 10.7% cost of equity | – | – | $16.63 | 15% |
| Fair value | $24.97 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 15.8
- Family Clothing Stores median 12.0
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $86.18M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $40.52M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 31.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 53%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.32
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.17
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +4.1% | +3.6% | +8.1% | +4.6% | |
| Gross profit | -3.0% | +5.1% | +12.0% | +4.5% | |
| Operating income | -47.1% | -2.9% | – | -3.4% | |
| Net income | -41.7% | +15.3% | – | -1.3% | |
| EPS, diluted | -35.1% | +19.4% | – | -0.2% | |
| Free cash flow | -23.2% | +10.2% | +21.3% | +0.4% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | +11.6% | +29.5% | 0.0% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 18.8% | -17.9% | 11.1% | |
| Return on assets | 12.5% | -6.2% | 4.9% | |
| Current ratio | 1.83 | 1.77 | 1.51 | |
| Debt to equity | – | 0.30 | 0.00 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | – | 4.97× | -0.53× | |
| Inventory turnover | 6.8× | 6.1× | 5.3× | |
| Capex to revenue | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | |
| Diluted shares | 184M | 166M | 176M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
American Eagle Outfitters generated $2.22B from operations and spent $1.86B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 62% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 3.5% | 1.42× | 2.27× | 11.1% |
| FY2024 | 6.2% | 1.44× | 2.11× | 18.8% |
| FY2023 | 3.2% | 1.51× | 2.09× | 10.2% |
| FY2022 | 2.5% | 1.38× | 2.38× | 8.3% |
| FY2021 | 8.4% | 1.39× | 2.88× | 33.4% |
| FY2020 | -5.6% | 1.11× | 2.90× | -17.9% |
| FY2019 | 4.4% | 1.65× | 2.06× | 15.1% |
| FY2018 | 6.5% | 2.17× | 1.47× | 20.7% |
| FY2017 | 5.4% | 2.11× | 1.47× | 16.7% |
| FY2016 | 5.9% | 2.13× | 1.50× | 18.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$191.98M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$456.18M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year9.3% → 5.0%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$456.18M vs $191.98M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → 0.0%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.53 → 1.51
- No dilutionShare count did not rise196M → 176M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year39.20% → 36.51%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.50 → 1.45
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