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Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) stock analysis

TXNNasdaqSemiconductors & Related DevicesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 23, 2026Score 15/3038% above fair value
$309.81+9.29 (+3.09%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $283.10BP/E 40.2Yield 1.78%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value0Growth3Performance4Health4Dividend4

Solid15 of 30 checks passed

Texas Instruments passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 2 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
0/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 39.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 46.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 29.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 41.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -2.2% a year.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 73.0% of total debt.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 37.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $309.81 is above our fair value estimate of $225.01.

  • High debt

    Debt is 70.7% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 2.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

Valuation0/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Texas Instruments's P/E of 40.2 is above its own 5-year median of 27.4.

  • P/E above the industry

    Texas Instruments's P/E of 40.2 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 34.8.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Texas Instruments's EV/EBITDA of 34.1 is above its 5-year median of 24.8.

  • P/B above the industry

    Texas Instruments's price-to-book of 14.76 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.49.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $309.81 is above our fair value estimate of $225.01.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 37.7% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -4.1% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -16.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 41.0% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -2.2% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 20.3% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.3%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (fourth quarter revenue, Oct 21, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 60.2% over the last twelve months, against 57.5% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 39.7% over the last twelve months and averaged 46.3% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 29.6%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Texas Instruments's return on equity of 39.7% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 4.8%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 2.2% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin below its 5-year average

    Net margin was 34.3% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 36.4%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    Texas Instruments's net margin of 34.3% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 2.9%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 70.7% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 74.0% five years ago to 70.7%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 73.0% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 5.59 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 13.46; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    Texas Instruments paid dividends worth 1.9% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.9% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; Texas Instruments yields 1.9%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 72.7% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 70.7% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$225.01

The share price is 38% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$309.81Price$225.01Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E31.1×27.4×34.8×$239.9153%
EV/EBITDA23.1×24.8×21.3×$207.9747%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others10.6% cost of equity––$18.83–
Fair value$225.01100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 27.4
  • Electronic Components and Accessories median 34.8

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$2.30B
Value traded per 1% price move
$1.13B

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
14.0%
Volatility (annualized)
44%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.99
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.14

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

57.0%−7.1 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

34.1%−6.7 pts over 5 years

Net margin

28.3%−10.4 pts over 5 years

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