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NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) stock analysis

NXPINasdaqSemiconductors & Related DevicesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 27, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Oct 27, 2026Score 20/3024% below fair value
$265.09−2.20 (-0.82%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $66.82BP/E 20.8Yield 1.53%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value5Growth1Performance6Health4Dividend4

Solid20 of 30 checks passed

NXP Semiconductors passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
5/6
Growth
1/6
Past performance
6/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 24.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $265.09 is below our fair value estimate of $348.87.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 29.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 29.6% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 19.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • High debt

    Debt is 90.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -9.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 56.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 108% a year.

Valuation5/6
  • P/E below its 5-year median

    NXP Semiconductors's P/E of 20.8 is below its own 5-year median of 21.9.

  • P/E below the industry

    NXP Semiconductors's P/E of 20.8 is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 34.1.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    NXP Semiconductors's EV/EBITDA of 14.0 is below its 5-year median of 14.3.

  • P/B above the industry

    NXP Semiconductors's price-to-book of 5.53 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.21.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $265.09 is below our fair value estimate of $348.87.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 24.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth1/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -9.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth not accelerating

    Net income grew 56.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 108% a year.

  • Growing slower than the industry

    Revenue grew 14.6% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.6%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (Fourth Quarter 2026 Total Revenue, Oct 27, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 56.4% over the last twelve months, against 54.7% a year earlier.

Past performance6/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 29.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 29.6% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 19.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    NXP Semiconductors's return on equity of 29.2% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 5.0%.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 108% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 23.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 19.1%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    NXP Semiconductors's net margin of 23.4% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.0%.

Financial health4/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 90.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt rising against equity

    Debt to equity rose from 85.1% five years ago to 90.8%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 34.6% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 9.9 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 2.12 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.92; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    NXP Semiconductors paid dividends worth 1.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.5% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; NXP Semiconductors yields 1.5%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 9 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 31.7% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 29.2% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$348.87

The share price is 24% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$265.09Price$348.87Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E28.0×21.9×34.1×$355.9753%
EV/EBITDA17.5×14.3×20.6×$340.7647%
Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others11.9% cost of equity––$79.39–
Fair value$348.87100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 21.9
  • Electronic Components and Accessories median 34.1

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$1.20B
Value traded per 1% price move
$472.72M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
20.1%
Volatility (annualized)
50%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.50
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.37

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

54.7%+5.6 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

24.8%+20.0 pts over 5 years

Net margin

16.5%+15.9 pts over 5 years

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