NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $66.82BP/E 20.8Yield 1.53%
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Solid20 of 30 checks passed
NXP Semiconductors passes 20 of the 30 checks behind our score; 1 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 5/6
- Growth
- 1/6
- Past performance
- 6/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 4/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 24.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $265.09 is below our fair value estimate of $348.87.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 29.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 29.6% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 19.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
High debt
Debt is 90.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -9.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 56.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 108% a year.
Valuation5/6
P/E below its 5-year median
NXP Semiconductors's P/E of 20.8 is below its own 5-year median of 21.9.
P/E below the industry
NXP Semiconductors's P/E of 20.8 is below the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 34.1.
EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median
NXP Semiconductors's EV/EBITDA of 14.0 is below its 5-year median of 14.3.
P/B above the industry
NXP Semiconductors's price-to-book of 5.53 is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.21.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $265.09 is below our fair value estimate of $348.87.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 24.0% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth1/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -2.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -9.0% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth not accelerating
Net income grew 56.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 108% a year.
Growing slower than the industry
Revenue grew 14.6% over the last twelve months; the Electronic Components and Accessories median is 17.6%.
Guidance issued
The latest outlook (Fourth Quarter 2026 Total Revenue, Oct 27, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 56.4% over the last twelve months, against 54.7% a year earlier.
Past performance6/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 29.2% over the last twelve months and averaged 29.6% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 19.2%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
NXP Semiconductors's return on equity of 29.2% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 5.0%.
Earnings grew over 5 years
Net income grew 108% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 23.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 19.1%.
Net margin above the industry
NXP Semiconductors's net margin of 23.4% is above the Electronic Components and Accessories median of 3.0%.
Financial health4/6
High debt
Debt is 90.8% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.
Debt rising against equity
Debt to equity rose from 85.1% five years ago to 90.8%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 34.6% of total debt.
Interest well covered
Operating income covers interest expense 9.9 times.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 2.12 times current liabilities.
Low bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 3.92; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend4/6
Pays a dividend
NXP Semiconductors paid dividends worth 1.5% of the share price over the last twelve months.
Yield below Treasuries
The 1.5% yield is below the 4.7% on a 1-year Treasury.
Yield below the top quarter
The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; NXP Semiconductors yields 1.5%.
Dividend not cut
The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 9 fiscal years.
Covered by earnings
Dividends take 31.7% of net income.
Covered by free cash flow
Dividends take 29.2% of free cash flow.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$348.87
The share price is 24% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 28.0× | 21.9× | 34.1× | $355.97 | 53% |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.5× | 14.3× | 20.6× | $340.76 | 47% |
| Earnings powerleft out, too far from the others | 11.9% cost of equity | – | – | $79.39 | – |
| Fair value | $348.87 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 21.9
- Electronic Components and Accessories median 34.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $1.20B
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $472.72M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 20.1%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 50%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 0.50
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 1.37
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -2.7% | -2.4% | +7.3% | +7.2% | |
| Gross profit | -5.7% | -3.7% | +9.7% | +9.2% | |
| Operating income | -10.8% | -7.1% | +48.8% | +4.2% | |
| Net income | -19.5% | -10.2% | +107.9% | +2.8% | |
| EPS, diluted | -18.3% | -9.0% | +113.3% | +2.7% | |
| Free cash flow | +17.9% | -5.1% | +3.0% | +9.4% | |
| Dividend per share | 0.0% | +6.3% | +22.0% | – |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 1.8% | 0.6% | 21.0% | |
| Return on assets | 0.8% | 0.3% | 7.9% | |
| Current ratio | 2.22 | 2.14 | 2.05 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.84 | 0.85 | 1.22 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 3.55× | 2.22× | 2.31× | |
| Interest coverage | -0.4× | 1.2× | 6.5× | |
| Inventory turnover | 3.6× | 3.9× | 2.3× | |
| Capex to revenue | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | |
| Diluted shares | 348M | 284M | 254M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
NXP Semiconductors generated $16.09B from operations and spent $16.99B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 22% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 16.5% | 0.48× | 2.65× | 21.0% |
| FY2024 | 19.9% | 0.52× | 2.73× | 28.2% |
| FY2023 | 21.1% | 0.56× | 2.96× | 34.8% |
| FY2022 | 21.1% | 0.60× | 3.16× | 39.9% |
| FY2021 | 16.9% | 0.54× | 2.63× | 24.2% |
| FY2020 | 0.6% | 0.43× | 2.17× | 0.6% |
| FY2019 | 2.7% | 0.43× | 2.08× | 2.4% |
| FY2018 | 23.5% | 0.41× | 1.90× | 18.4% |
| FY2017 | 23.9% | 0.38× | 2.00× | 18.1% |
| FY2016 | 2.1% | 0.37× | 2.28× | 1.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$2.02B
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$2.82B
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year10.3% → 8.3%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$2.82B vs $2.02B
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell42.5% → 41.3%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose2.36 → 2.05
- No dilutionShare count did not rise258M → 254M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year56.44% → 54.74%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose0.52 → 0.50
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