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TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) stock analysis

TKONYSEServices-Amusement & Recreation ServicesFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 30, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 4, 2026Score 12/3078% above fair value
$199.50+0.28 (+0.14%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $37.76BP/E 53.8Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value1Growth3Performance3Health3Dividend2

Mixed12 of 30 checks passed

TKO passes 12 of the 30 checks behind our score; 10 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
1/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
3/6
Dividend
2/6

What stands out

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 15.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 60.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 40.1% of total debt.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.41; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 77.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $199.50 is above our fair value estimate of $112.21.

  • High debt

    Debt is 137% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.6 times; we look for at least 5.

Valuation1/6
  • P/E against its history

    Not enough price and earnings history to compare.

  • P/E above the industry

    TKO's P/E of 53.8 is above the Amusement and Recreation Services median of 35.3.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    TKO's EV/EBITDA of 24.6 is below its 5-year median of 28.4.

  • P/B above the industry

    TKO's price-to-book of 11.22 is above the Amusement and Recreation Services median of 2.76.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $199.50 is above our fair value estimate of $112.21.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 77.8% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing 10%+ a year

    Revenue grew 60.7% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • EPS growth over 3 years

    Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.

  • Earnings acceleration

    Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 19.8% over the last twelve months; the Amusement and Recreation Services median is 5.5%.

  • Guidance raised

    TKO raised its full year 2026 revenue outlook on Aug 3, 2026.

  • Gross margin trend

    This company does not report gross profit.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 15.4%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    TKO's return on equity of 8.0% is above the Amusement and Recreation Services median of -40.9%.

  • Earnings over 5 years

    Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.

  • Net margin against its history

    Needs five years of revenue and net income.

  • Net margin above the industry

    TKO's net margin of 5.2% is above the Amusement and Recreation Services median of -1.4%.

Financial health3/6
  • High debt

    Debt is 137% of shareholders' equity, above the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 40.1% of total debt.

  • Interest not well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 4.6 times; we look for at least 5.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.35 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 3.41; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend2/6
  • Pays a dividend

    TKO paid dividends worth 1.6% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.6% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; TKO yields 1.6%.

  • Dividend stability

    Fewer than five years of dividend history.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 82.0% of net income.

  • Cash-flow cover

    Needs dividends paid and free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$112.21

The share price is 78% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$199.50Price$112.21Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E35.3×–35.3×$131.0340%
EV/EBITDA16.9×28.4×12.0×$130.5635%
P/B4.0×6.9×2.8×$71.3010%
Earnings power8.1% cost of equity––$46.5015%
Fair value$112.21100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Amusement and Recreation Services median 35.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$200.99M
Value traded per 1% price move
$126.91M

Downside

Low risk

Typical loss in a bad month
12.8%
Volatility (annualized)
32%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
0.22
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.64

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2020 to 2025

Operating margin

17.6%

Net margin

4.1%

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