DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) stock analysis
Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $17.47BP/E –Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works
Weak8 of 30 checks passed
DraftKings passes 8 of the 30 checks behind our score; 13 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 0/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 1/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
No debt
DraftKings has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 39.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
What to watch
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 734% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $19.64 is above our fair value estimate of $2.35.
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was -83.1% over the last twelve months and averaged -58.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.35; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Valuation0/6
P/E against its history
Not enough price and earnings history to compare.
P/E against the industry
Needs positive earnings and enough profitable companies in the industry.
EV/EBITDA against its history
Needs positive EBITDA and price history.
P/B above the industry
DraftKings's price-to-book of 97.25 is above the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median of 3.09.
Trading above fair value
The share price of $19.64 is above our fair value estimate of $2.35.
Margin of safety under 20%
The price is 734% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing 10%+ a year
Revenue grew 39.3% a year over the last three fiscal years.
EPS growth over 3 years
Needs positive EPS three years ago and today.
Earnings acceleration
Needs positive net income now, a year ago and five years ago.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 17.4% over the last twelve months; the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median is 9.8%.
Guidance unchanged
The latest outlook (fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance range, Aug 7, 2026) was maintained, so it neither adds nor takes away points.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 40.5% over the last twelve months, against 39.2% a year earlier.
Past performance1/6
Return on equity under 15%
Return on equity was -83.1% over the last twelve months and averaged -58.2% over five years; we look for 15% on both.
Return on invested capital
Needs operating income and invested capital.
Return on equity below the industry
DraftKings's return on equity of -83.1% is below the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median of 4.4%.
Earnings over 5 years
Needs positive net income five years ago and in the latest year.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was -5.9% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -42.3%.
Net margin below the industry
DraftKings's net margin of -5.9% is below the Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median of 1.6%.
Financial health4/6
No debt
DraftKings has no borrowings on its latest balance sheet.
Debt not rising
With no debt today, leverage cannot have risen.
Debt covered by cash flow
There is no debt to cover.
Interest well covered
No meaningful interest expense to cover.
Short-term assets don't cover short-term debts
Current assets are 0.99 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.35; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
DraftKings has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$2.35
The share price is 734% above this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/B | 9.8× | 17.2× | 3.1× | $1.99 | 40% |
| P/Sleft out, too far from the others | 3.5× | 4.0× | 3.1× | $25.36 | – |
| Earnings power | 14.9% cost of equity | – | – | $2.60 | 60% |
| Fair value | $2.35 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/B at month end
- Own 5-year median 17.2
- Miscellaneous Amusement and Recreation median 3.1
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $330.68M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $115.69M
Downside
High risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 28.6%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 56%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- -0.72
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 2.17
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2019 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +27.0% | +39.3% | +58.0% | – | |
| Gross profit | +37.4% | +48.9% | +56.3% | – | |
| Free cash flow | +58.9% | – | – | – |
Returns and balance sheet
7 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | – | -95.4% | 0.5% | |
| Return on assets | – | – | 0.1% | |
| Current ratio | – | – | 1.03 | |
| Interest coverage | – | – | – | |
| Capex to revenue | – | 1.9% | 0.3% | |
| Diluted shares | – | 306M | 496M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
DraftKings generated $2.13B from operations and spent $732.18M on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 13% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 0.1% | 1.37× | 5.37× | 0.5% |
| FY2024 | -10.6% | 1.16× | 4.45× | -54.8% |
| FY2023 | -21.9% | 0.92× | 3.69× | -74.2% |
| FY2022 | -61.5% | 0.55× | 2.70× | -91.8% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$3.71M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$662.86M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year-12.9% → 0.1%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$662.86M vs $3.71M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell– → –
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose0.93 → 1.03
- No dilutionShare count did not rise482M → 496M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year38.11% → 41.25%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.21 → 1.41
See a number that looks wrong?