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TE Connectivity plc (TEL) stock analysis

TELNYSEWholesale-Electronic Parts & Equipment, NECFiscal year ends September 25
Financials through Q4 FY2026, quarter ended Sep 25, 2026Last filing: 10-K on Nov 9, 2026Score 17/3010% above fair value
$219.41+1.65 (+0.76%)

Close on Nov 11, 2026Market cap $63.52BP/E 19.8Yield 1.36%

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 11, 2026How the score works

Value2Growth4Performance3Health4Dividend4

Solid17 of 30 checks passed

TE Connectivity passes 17 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
2/6
Growth
4/6
Past performance
3/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
4/6

What stands out

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 7.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 22.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 76.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.5% a year.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 32.2 times.

What to watch

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 9.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $219.41 is above our fair value estimate of $200.37.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • P/E above its 5-year median

    TE Connectivity's P/E of 19.8 is above its own 5-year median of 19.6.

Valuation2/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    TE Connectivity's P/E of 19.8 is above its own 5-year median of 19.6.

  • P/E below the industry

    TE Connectivity's P/E of 19.8 is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 20.3.

  • EV/EBITDA below its 5-year median

    TE Connectivity's EV/EBITDA of 13.4 is below its 5-year median of 14.1.

  • P/S above the industry

    TE Connectivity's price-to-sales of 3.19 is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 0.77 (book value is negative, so we use sales).

  • Trading above fair value

    The share price of $219.41 is above our fair value estimate of $200.37.

  • Margin of safety under 20%

    The price is 9.5% above fair value, so there is no margin of safety.

Growth4/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew 7.4% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing 10%+ a year

    Diluted EPS grew 22.4% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 76.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 7.5% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 15.2% over the last twelve months; the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median is 13.5%.

  • Guidance issued

    The latest outlook (first quarter of fiscal 2027 sales, Oct 28, 2026) was issued for the first time, so it neither adds nor takes away points.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 36.2% over the last twelve months, against 35.2% a year earlier.

Past performance3/6
  • Return on equity

    Needs positive equity and five years of results.

  • Return on invested capital

    Needs operating income and invested capital.

  • Return on equity against the industry

    Needs positive equity.

  • Earnings grew over 5 years

    Net income grew 7.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 16.4% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 14.8%.

  • Net margin above the industry

    TE Connectivity's net margin of 16.4% is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 2.7%.

Financial health4/6
  • Debt level

    Needs debt and equity figures.

  • Debt trend

    Needs a balance sheet from five years ago with positive equity.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 80.2% of total debt.

  • Interest well covered

    Operating income covers interest expense 32.2 times.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.73 times current liabilities.

  • Low bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 5.16; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend4/6
  • Pays a dividend

    TE Connectivity paid dividends worth 1.0% of the share price over the last twelve months.

  • Yield below Treasuries

    The 1.0% yield is below the 4.4% on a 1-year Treasury.

  • Yield below the top quarter

    The top quarter of US dividend payers yield 3.8% or more; TE Connectivity yields 1.0%.

  • Dividend not cut

    The dividend per share has not fallen by more than 10% in any of the last 10 fiscal years.

  • Covered by earnings

    Dividends take 26.7% of net income.

  • Covered by free cash flow

    Dividends take 25.5% of free cash flow.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$200.37

The share price is 10% above this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$219.41Price
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E20.0×19.6×20.3×$220.6844%
EV/EBITDA13.5×14.1×12.9×$219.9539%
Earnings power11.0% cost of equity––$100.5217%
Fair value$200.37100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 19.6
  • Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median 20.3

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$432.23M
Value traded per 1% price move
$275.90M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.6%
Volatility (annualized)
37%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
-0.43
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
1.22

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2012 to 2026

Gross margin

36.2%+3.5 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

20.1%+3.8 pts over 5 years

Net margin

16.4%+1.2 pts over 5 years

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