Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) stock analysis
Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $9.82BP/E 9.8Yield –
StockData Score
Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works
Solid15 of 30 checks passed
Arrow Electronics passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.
- Valuation
- 4/6
- Growth
- 3/6
- Past performance
- 4/6
- Financial health
- 4/6
- Dividend
- 0/6
What stands out
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 23.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $192.90 is below our fair value estimate of $250.97.
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 15.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.9% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 12.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
What to watch
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 0.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -6.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -20.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.54; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Valuation4/6
P/E above its 5-year median
Arrow Electronics's P/E of 9.8 is above its own 5-year median of 9.7.
P/E below the industry
Arrow Electronics's P/E of 9.8 is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 19.9.
EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median
Arrow Electronics's EV/EBITDA of 7.7 is above its 5-year median of 7.4.
P/B below the industry
Arrow Electronics's price-to-book of 1.37 is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 2.13.
Trading below fair value
The share price of $192.90 is below our fair value estimate of $250.97.
Margin of safety over 20%
The price is 23.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.
Growth3/6
Revenue growing under 10% a year
Revenue grew -6.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.
EPS growing under 10% a year
Diluted EPS grew -20.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.
Earnings growth accelerating
Net income grew 115% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -0.5% a year.
Growing faster than the industry
Revenue grew 32.5% over the last twelve months; the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median is 13.5%.
Guidance lowered
Arrow Electronics lowered its First-Quarter 2026 global enterprise computing solutions sales outlook on Feb 5, 2026.
Gross margin improving
Gross margin was 11.3% over the last twelve months, against 11.1% a year earlier.
Past performance4/6
Return on equity over 15%
Return on equity was 15.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.9% over five years.
Return on capital over 10%
Return on invested capital was 12.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.
Return on equity above the industry
Arrow Electronics's return on equity of 15.0% is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 11.1%.
Earnings shrank over 5 years
Net income shrank 0.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.
Net margin above its 5-year average
Net margin was 2.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.6%.
Net margin below the industry
Arrow Electronics's net margin of 2.6% is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 2.7%.
Financial health4/6
Low debt
Debt is 38.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.
Debt falling against equity
Debt to equity fell from 44.3% five years ago to 38.3%.
Debt covered by cash flow
Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 28.2% of total debt.
Interest coverage
Interest expense is not reported separately.
Short-term assets cover short-term debts
Current assets are 1.20 times current liabilities.
Elevated bankruptcy risk
The Altman Z-score is 1.54; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.
Dividend0/6
No dividend
Arrow Electronics has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.
Yield against Treasuries
No dividend.
Yield against the market
No dividend.
Dividend stability
No dividend.
Earnings cover
No dividend.
Cash-flow cover
No dividend.
Fair value
How we estimate itOur estimate per share
$250.97
The share price is 23% below this estimate.
| Method | Multiple used | Own 5Y median | Industry median | Value per share | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 14.8× | 9.7× | 19.9× | $291.97 | 40% |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.1× | 7.4× | 12.8× | $268.47 | 35% |
| P/B | 1.7× | 1.3× | 2.1× | $242.42 | 10% |
| Earnings power | 10.0% cost of equity | – | – | $106.48 | 15% |
| Fair value | $250.97 | 100% | |||
Valuation over time
Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.
- P/E at month end
- Own 5-year median 9.7
- Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median 19.9
An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.
Market risk
From the past year of daily prices.
Liquidity
Low risk
- Average value traded per day
- $105.08M
- Value traded per 1% price move
- $51.98M
Downside
Medium risk
- Typical loss in a bad month
- 15.3%
- Volatility (annualized)
- 41%
- Sharpe ratio, 1 year
- 1.68
- Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
- 0.98
Typical bad-month loss, week by week
Margins
Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
Growth rates
Compound annual growth to fiscal 2025
| Per year | 1 year | 3 years | 5 years | 10 years | Five-year pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +10.5% | -6.0% | +1.5% | +2.9% | |
| Gross profit | +5.3% | -10.5% | +1.7% | +1.3% | |
| Operating income | +7.0% | -26.5% | -1.7% | -0.0% | |
| Net income | +45.7% | -26.3% | -0.5% | +1.4% | |
| EPS, diluted | +49.9% | -20.6% | +8.0% | +7.7% |
Returns and balance sheet
10 fiscal years. Hover a measure to see how it is calculated.
| Measure | FY2016 | FY2020 | FY2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Return on equity | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | |
| Return on assets | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | |
| Current ratio | 1.54 | 1.44 | 1.36 | |
| Debt to equity | 0.63 | 0.44 | 0.47 | |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 2.18× | 1.74× | 2.89× | |
| Inventory turnover | 7.6× | 7.5× | 5.6× | |
| Capex to revenue | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| Diluted shares | 92M | 79M | 52M |
Where the cash went
Fiscal 2021 to 2025, five years combined
Arrow Electronics generated $2.35B from operations and spent $3.60B on capital expenditure, dividends and share buybacks. 12% of that went back into the business.
DuPont analysis
Return on equity split into margin, efficiency and leverage
| Fiscal year | Net margin | Asset turnover | Equity multiplier | Return on equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 | 1.9% | 1.21× | 4.12× | 9.3% |
| FY2024 | 1.4% | 1.28× | 3.76× | 6.8% |
| FY2023 | 2.7% | 1.52× | 3.83× | 15.9% |
| FY2022 | 3.8% | 1.80× | 3.81× | 26.4% |
| FY2021 | 3.2% | 1.88× | 3.53× | 21.4% |
| FY2020 | 2.0% | 1.71× | 3.38× | 11.8% |
| FY2019 | -0.7% | 1.69× | 3.37× | -4.0% |
| FY2018 | 2.4% | 1.73× | 3.33× | 13.9% |
| FY2017 | 1.5% | 1.73× | 3.28× | 8.6% |
| FY2016 | 2.2% | 1.73× | 3.18× | 12.2% |
Piotroski F-Score
Nine tests of profitability, balance sheet and efficiency, fiscal 2025 against fiscal 2024
- ProfitableNet income above zero$571.27M
- Cash generatingOperating cash flow above zero$64.05M
- Return on assets improvedROA up on the prior year1.8% → 2.6%
- Earnings backed by cashOperating cash flow above net income$64.05M vs $571.27M
- Less leverageLong-term debt to assets fell12.7% → 10.6%
- Better liquidityCurrent ratio rose1.46 → 1.36
- No dilutionShare count did not rise54M → 52M
- Gross margin improvedGross margin up on the prior year11.79% → 11.24%
- More efficientAsset turnover rose1.29 → 1.42
See a number that looks wrong?