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Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) stock analysis

ARWNYSEWholesale-Electronic Parts & Equipment, NECFiscal year ends December 31
Financials through Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Oct 3, 2026Last filing: 10-Q on Nov 5, 2026Score 15/3023% below fair value
$192.90−5.30 (-2.67%)

Close on Nov 13, 2026Market cap $9.82BP/E 9.8Yield –

StockData Score

Prices as of Nov 13, 2026How the score works

Value4Growth3Performance4Health4Dividend0

Solid15 of 30 checks passed

Arrow Electronics passes 15 of the 30 checks behind our score; 6 could not be run for lack of data and count as not passed. Each dot in the shape is one check — hover it for the numbers.

Valuation
4/6
Growth
3/6
Past performance
4/6
Financial health
4/6
Dividend
0/6

What stands out

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 23.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $192.90 is below our fair value estimate of $250.97.

  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 15.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.9% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 12.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

What to watch

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 0.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -6.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -20.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.54; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Valuation4/6
  • P/E above its 5-year median

    Arrow Electronics's P/E of 9.8 is above its own 5-year median of 9.7.

  • P/E below the industry

    Arrow Electronics's P/E of 9.8 is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 19.9.

  • EV/EBITDA above its 5-year median

    Arrow Electronics's EV/EBITDA of 7.7 is above its 5-year median of 7.4.

  • P/B below the industry

    Arrow Electronics's price-to-book of 1.37 is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 2.13.

  • Trading below fair value

    The share price of $192.90 is below our fair value estimate of $250.97.

  • Margin of safety over 20%

    The price is 23.1% below fair value, more than the 20% cushion we look for.

Growth3/6
  • Revenue growing under 10% a year

    Revenue grew -6.0% a year over the last three fiscal years, short of the 10% we look for.

  • EPS growing under 10% a year

    Diluted EPS grew -20.6% a year over the last three fiscal years.

  • Earnings growth accelerating

    Net income grew 115% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of -0.5% a year.

  • Growing faster than the industry

    Revenue grew 32.5% over the last twelve months; the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median is 13.5%.

  • Guidance lowered

    Arrow Electronics lowered its First-Quarter 2026 global enterprise computing solutions sales outlook on Feb 5, 2026.

  • Gross margin improving

    Gross margin was 11.3% over the last twelve months, against 11.1% a year earlier.

Past performance4/6
  • Return on equity over 15%

    Return on equity was 15.0% over the last twelve months and averaged 15.9% over five years.

  • Return on capital over 10%

    Return on invested capital was 12.0%, above the 10% that usually covers the cost of capital.

  • Return on equity above the industry

    Arrow Electronics's return on equity of 15.0% is above the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 11.1%.

  • Earnings shrank over 5 years

    Net income shrank 0.5% a year on average over the last five fiscal years.

  • Net margin above its 5-year average

    Net margin was 2.6% over the last twelve months, against a 5-year average of 2.6%.

  • Net margin below the industry

    Arrow Electronics's net margin of 2.6% is below the Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median of 2.7%.

Financial health4/6
  • Low debt

    Debt is 38.3% of shareholders' equity, under the 40% we consider low.

  • Debt falling against equity

    Debt to equity fell from 44.3% five years ago to 38.3%.

  • Debt covered by cash flow

    Operating cash flow over the last twelve months equals 28.2% of total debt.

  • Interest coverage

    Interest expense is not reported separately.

  • Short-term assets cover short-term debts

    Current assets are 1.20 times current liabilities.

  • Elevated bankruptcy risk

    The Altman Z-score is 1.54; above 3 is the safe zone and below 1.8 the distress zone.

Dividend0/6
  • No dividend

    Arrow Electronics has not paid a dividend in the last twelve months.

  • Yield against Treasuries

    No dividend.

  • Yield against the market

    No dividend.

  • Dividend stability

    No dividend.

  • Earnings cover

    No dividend.

  • Cash-flow cover

    No dividend.

Scores of similar companies

Our estimate per share

$250.97

The share price is 23% below this estimate.

20%+ below
Near fair value
20%+ above
$192.90Price$250.97Fair value
MethodMultiple usedOwn 5Y medianIndustry medianValue per shareWeight
P/E14.8×9.7×19.9×$291.9740%
EV/EBITDA10.1×7.4×12.8×$268.4735%
P/B1.7×1.3×2.1×$242.4210%
Earnings power10.0% cost of equity––$106.4815%
Fair value$250.97100%

Valuation over time

Using the earnings and balance sheet published at each date, not today's.

  • P/E at month end
  • Own 5-year median 9.7
  • Wholesale Trade-durable Goods median 19.9

An estimate from reported numbers and market multiples, not a price target or investment advice. It can be far off for companies whose profits are about to change sharply.

Market risk

From the past year of daily prices.

Liquidity

Low risk

Average value traded per day
$105.08M
Value traded per 1% price move
$51.98M

Downside

Medium risk

Typical loss in a bad month
15.3%
Volatility (annualized)
41%
Sharpe ratio, 1 year
1.68
Beta to the S&P 500 (5Y)
0.98

Typical bad-month loss, week by week

25%: high

Margins

Share of revenue, fiscal years 2011 to 2025

Gross margin

11.2%+0.1 pts over 5 years

Operating margin

2.7%−0.5 pts over 5 years

Net margin

1.9%−0.2 pts over 5 years

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